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A Study of the Formal Structure of J. W. Forrester's Urban Dynamics Model

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Listed:
  • L. Beumer

    (Erasmus University, Rotterdam)

  • A. van Gameren

    (Erasmus University, Rotterdam)

  • B. van der Hee

    (Erasmus University, Rotterdam)

  • J. Paelinck

    (Erasmus University, Rotterdam)

Abstract

The 118 basic equations of Forrester's urban dynamics model are analysed by forming them into qualitative structural matrices. It is concluded that the endogenous dynamics of the system are determined by only 42 of the 118 stock variables, thus enabling the majority of the equations to be discarded. In the urban dynamics model, city growth behaviour is found to depend essentially upon an attractiveness-mobility base which conditions labour and unemployment change rates and these in turn influence change rates in housing and management and finally new and mature business growth rates.

Suggested Citation

  • L. Beumer & A. van Gameren & B. van der Hee & J. Paelinck, 1978. "A Study of the Formal Structure of J. W. Forrester's Urban Dynamics Model," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 15(2), pages 167-177, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:15:y:1978:i:2:p:167-177
    DOI: 10.1080/713702339
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jean H. Paelinck, 1972. "Modèles urbains dynamiques. Etude critique," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 23(6), pages 931-951.
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