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Estimation of Income and Price Elasticities of India’s Trade in Services

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  • Mini P. Thomas

Abstract

India’s international trade in services benefited immensely from the change in policy stance from import substitution to export promotion in the post-1991 period. Services trade received a further boost when India became signatory to the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995. This article aims to estimate the income and price elasticities of India’s services trade during the post-WTO period, using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration, for the time period starting from 1996–97 Q1 (Quarter 1) to 2011–12 Q4 (Quarter 4). This study finds that the long-run income elasticity of services export is quite high and statistically significant, when the gross domestic product (GDP) of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development countries is taken as proxy for GDP of importing countries. However, the price elasticity of services export is found to be statistically insignificant. In case of services import, both the income and price elasticities of demand are found to be statistically significant, and services import is found to be more responsive to income than relative prices. The implications of the empirical findings for India’s current account deficit are also explored.

Suggested Citation

  • Mini P. Thomas, 2016. "Estimation of Income and Price Elasticities of India’s Trade in Services," South Asia Economic Journal, Institute of Policy Studies of Sri Lanka, vol. 17(1), pages 27-45, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:soueco:v:17:y:2016:i:1:p:27-45
    DOI: 10.1177/1391561415621822
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    Cited by:

    1. Mubasher Iqbal & Rukshana Kalim & Noman Arshed, 2019. "Domestic and Foreign Incomes and Trade Balance - A Case of South Asian Economies," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(4), pages 355-368, December.
    2. Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Javed Ahmad Bhat, 2021. "Impact of Exchange Rate Changes on the Trade Balance of India: An Asymmetric Nonlinear Cointegration Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 56(1), pages 71-88, February.
    3. Ngomba Bodi, Francis Ghislain, 2018. "Estimation des élasticités du commerce extérieur dans des économies en développement riches en ressources naturelles : le cas des pays de la CEMAC [Estimation of trade elasticities in resources ric," MPRA Paper 116378, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Services trade; economic growth; exchange rate; ARDL; cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E64 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Incomes Policy; Price Policy
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F40 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - General

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