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Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis

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  • Khaled Mokni
  • Elie Bouri
  • Ahdi Noomen Ajmi
  • Xuan Vinh Vo

Abstract

This paper examines the hedge and safe-haven abilities of Bitcoin against U.S. aggregate and categorical economic policy uncertainty (EPU) via the application of quantile regression model augmented with a dummy and some control variables. Using monthly data from September 2011 to December 2019, empirical results indicate that Bitcoin does not act as a strong hedge against the aggregate U.S. EPU. However, it acts as a strong safe-haven for this aggregate measure of uncertainty when the Bitcoin market is bearish. Looking deeper into the disaggregated level of the U.S. EPU data, the analyses involving categorical EPU data indicate the ability of Bitcoin to act as a strong hedge and safe-haven against specific uncertainties related to fiscal policy, taxes, national security, and trade policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Khaled Mokni & Elie Bouri & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Does Bitcoin Hedge Categorical Economic Uncertainty? A Quantile Analysis," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(2), pages 21582440211, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:sagope:v:11:y:2021:i:2:p:21582440211016377
    DOI: 10.1177/21582440211016377
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Fahad Mostafa & Pritam Saha & Mohammad Rafiqul Islam & Nguyet Nguyen, 2021. "GJR-GARCH Volatility Modeling under NIG and ANN for Predicting Top Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-22, September.
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    7. Al-Shboul, Mohammad & Assaf, Ata & Mokni, Khaled, 2022. "When bitcoin lost its position: Cryptocurrency uncertainty and the dynamic spillover among cryptocurrencies before and during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

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