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Reliability and sensitivity analysis for bearings considering the correlation of multiple failure modes by mixed Copula function

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  • Xingang Wang
  • Bingxiang Wang
  • Miaoxin Chang
  • Lei Li

Abstract

The correlation between contact fatigue failure and wear failure of rolling bearing is analyzed, and the reliability model of rolling bearing based on multi-correlation failure mode is established. Based on the improved linear fatigue cumulative damage theory and wear theory, the limit state equations of two failure modes are established, and the correlation of state functions of contact fatigue and wear failure modes is described by the mixed Copula function. The random sample data are generated by Monte Carlo method, and the unknown parameters are estimated by genetic algorithm based on the minimum deviation square criterion, then the dynamic reliability model of rolling bearing is established. The quadratic polynomial without cross-term is used as the implicit functional proxy model, then the Latin hypercube sampling method and least squares theory are employed to estimate parameters of mixed Copula function and finally, the reliability sensitivity analysis of multi-failure modes of bearing is presented by fourth-order moment estimation method. Taking a certain type of spherical roller bearing as an example, the bearing reliability analysis considering the correlation of failure modes is carried out. The results show that compared with the bearing reliability model based on the assumption of independent failure modes and the weakest link theory, the bearing reliability model based on multi-correlation failure is more consistent with the practical application.

Suggested Citation

  • Xingang Wang & Bingxiang Wang & Miaoxin Chang & Lei Li, 2020. "Reliability and sensitivity analysis for bearings considering the correlation of multiple failure modes by mixed Copula function," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(1), pages 15-26, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:risrel:v:234:y:2020:i:1:p:15-26
    DOI: 10.1177/1748006X19876137
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. George Tsakiris & Nikos Kordalis & Dimitris Tigkas & Vasileios Tsakiris & Harris Vangelis, 2016. "Analysing Drought Severity and Areal Extent by 2D Archimedean Copulas," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(15), pages 5723-5735, December.
    2. Pan, Zhengqiang & Balakrishnan, Narayanaswamy, 2011. "Reliability modeling of degradation of products with multiple performance characteristics based on gamma processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(8), pages 949-957.
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    1. Li, Haihe & Wang, Pan & Huang, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Zheng & Zhou, Changcong & Yue, Zhufeng, 2021. "Vine copula-based parametric sensitivity analysis of failure probability-based importance measure in the presence of multidimensional dependencies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).

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