IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/reorpe/v53y2021i4p590-599.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Understanding China’s New Dual Circulation Development Strategy: A Marxian Input-Output Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Lijun Su
  • Junshang Liang

Abstract

The Chinese government has proposed a new development model called Dual Circulation, which, we argue, is a response to the upsurge of trade protectionism in recent years, as well as an acceleration of China’s long-planned restructuring of its economy. Our input-output analysis reveals the inferior global distributional position of China and the dire consequences it faces from a counterfactual US-China trade decoupling. Specifically, China on average transferred out about 9 percent of its abstract labor during 2010–14, and it stands to lose 2.5 percentage points in its growth rate and over 10 million jobs if the United States and China completely transfer their bilateral trade to other partners. JEL classification : B51, O24, D57

Suggested Citation

  • Lijun Su & Junshang Liang, 2021. "Understanding China’s New Dual Circulation Development Strategy: A Marxian Input-Output Analysis," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 53(4), pages 590-599, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:reorpe:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:590-599
    DOI: 10.1177/04866134211021971
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/04866134211021971
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/04866134211021971?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert C. Feenstra & Robert Inklaar & Marcel P. Timmer, 2015. "The Next Generation of the Penn World Table," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(10), pages 3150-3182, October.
    2. Adalmir Marquetti & Luiz Eduardo Ourique & Henrique Morrone, 2020. "A Classical-Marxian Growth Model of Catching Up and the Cases of China, Japan, and India: 1980–2014," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 52(2), pages 312-334, June.
    3. Erik Dietzenbacher & Bob van Burken & Yasushi Kondo, 2019. "Hypothetical extractions from a global perspective," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 505-519, October.
    4. Marcel P. Timmer & Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Robert Stehrer & Gaaitzen J. Vries, 2015. "An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: the Case of Global Automotive Production," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 575-605, August.
    5. Liang, Bin, 2005. "Severe strike campaign in transitional China," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 387-399.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Battisti, Michele & Gatto, Massimo Del & Parmeter, Christopher F., 2022. "Skill-biased technical change and labor market inefficiency," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    2. Zhou, Yixiao & Tyers, Rod, 2019. "Automation and inequality in China," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Ana Maria Santacreu & Michael Sposi & Jing Zhang, 2021. "What Determines State Heterogeneity in Response to US Tariff Changes?," Working Papers 2021-007, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised 08 Mar 2023.
    4. Koch, Philipp, 2021. "Economic complexity and growth: Can value-added exports better explain the link?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    5. Rossella Bardazzi & Leonardo Ghezzi, 2022. "Large-scale multinational shocks and international trade: a non-zero-sum game," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(4), pages 383-409, October.
    6. Ferrer, Jacobo & Martínez-González, Adrián & Torres-González, Luis Daniel, 2024. "On the Role of Profits-Wages Ratios in the Determination of the Long-Run Behavior of International Relative Prices," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP67, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    7. Anderson, James E. & Yotov, Yoto V., 2020. "Short run gravity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Aldy Darwili & Enno Schröder, 2023. "On the Interpretation and Measurement of Technology-Adjusted Emissions Embodied in Trade," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 84(1), pages 65-98, January.
    9. Piyusha Mutreja & Michael Sposi & B. Ravikumar, 2018. "Capital Goods Trade, Relative Prices and Economic Development," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 27, pages 101-122, January.
    10. Rod Tyers & Yixiao Zhou, 2023. "Automation and inequality with taxes and transfers," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 70(1), pages 68-100, February.
    11. Liuchun Deng, 2016. "Specialization Dynamics, Convergence, and Idea Flows," SERIES 09-2016, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza - Università degli Studi di Bari "Aldo Moro", revised Nov 2016.
    12. Justin Caron & Thibault Fally & James Markusen, 2021. "Per capita income and the demand for skills," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: BROADENING TRADE THEORY Incorporating Market Realities into Traditional Models, chapter 12, pages 251-268, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    13. Jan Hagemejer & Jakub Mućk, 2018. "Unraveling the economic performance of the CEEC countries: the role of exports and global value chains," Working Papers 2018-07, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    14. Giammetti, Raffaele & Papi, Luca & Teobaldelli, Désirée & Ticchi, Davide, 2022. "The optimality of age-based lockdown policies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 722-738.
    15. Chen, Chaoran, 2020. "Technology adoption, capital deepening, and international productivity differences," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    16. Georg Graetz & Guy Michaels, 2018. "Robots at Work," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(5), pages 753-768, December.
    17. Francesco Macheda & Roberto Nadalini, 2022. "China’s Escape from the Peripheral Condition: A Success Story?," Review of Radical Political Economics, Union for Radical Political Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 59-82, March.
    18. Sakari Lähdemäki & Eero Lehto & Eero Mäkynen, 2018. "The Role of Natural Resources and Geography for Productivity in Developed Countries," Working Papers 320, Työn ja talouden tutkimus LABORE, The Labour Institute for Economic Research LABORE.
    19. Peter J. Buckley & Roger Strange & Marcel P. Timmer & Gaaitzen J. de Vries, 2020. "Catching-up in the global factory: Analysis and policy implications," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 3(2), pages 79-106, June.
    20. Reshef, Ariell & Santoni, Gianluca, 2023. "Are your labor shares set in Beijing? The view through the lens of global value chains," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    globalization; US-China trade conflict; Dual Circulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B51 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Current Heterodox Approaches - - - Socialist; Marxian; Sraffian
    • O24 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Trade Policy; Factor Movement; Foreign Exchange Policy
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:reorpe:v:53:y:2021:i:4:p:590-599. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.urpe.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.