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The Dynamics of the Revenue–Expenditure Nexus

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  • James W. Saunoris

Abstract

Using data from the contiguous US states from 1951 to 2008, this study examines the dynamics of the intertemporal budget constraint to better understand persistent budget deficits. The direction of causality between tax revenues and expenditures is of primary interest in answering the four hypotheses set forth in the literature: tax-spend, spend-tax, fiscal synchronization, and institutional separation. Overall, the results convey evidence in favor of the tax-spend hypothesis. The dynamics differ, however, in that states with relatively higher debt levels respond slower to fiscal imbalances and rely more on expanding debt levels. These results present a clear illustration of the fiscal adjustment mechanism and how states adapt under various institutional restraints.

Suggested Citation

  • James W. Saunoris, 2015. "The Dynamics of the Revenue–Expenditure Nexus," Public Finance Review, , vol. 43(1), pages 108-134, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:pubfin:v:43:y:2015:i:1:p:108-134
    DOI: 10.1177/1091142113515051
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    2. Komain Jiranyakul, 2023. "Is the Thai government revenue-spending nexus asymmetric?," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(2), pages 404-419, April.

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