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Problems and Prospects for Democratic Settlements: South Africa as a Model for the Middle East and Northern Ireland?

Author

Listed:
  • Courtney Jung

    (Graduate Faculty of New School University, jung@newschool.edu)

  • Ellen Lust-Okar

    (Graduate Faculty of New School University, ellen.lust-okar@yale.edu)

  • Ian Shapiro

    (Graduate Faculty of New School University, ian.shapiro@yale.edu)

Abstract

Intense ethnic, racial, and religious violence led many to classify South Africa, Northern Ireland, and Israel/Palestine as intractable conflicts. Yet they diverged, with only South Africa achieving a lasting settlement. The authors explain why. The authors analyze them as a distinctive type of negotiated transition. The ancién regime is an imperfect democracy, subject to electoral constraints and legitimated by democratic principles that it violates. This constrains negotiations but helps manage difficult commitment problems. The authors show how the principals navigated constraints and took advantage of opportunities in South Africa but have failed—so far—to do so in the other two conflicts.

Suggested Citation

  • Courtney Jung & Ellen Lust-Okar & Ian Shapiro, 2005. "Problems and Prospects for Democratic Settlements: South Africa as a Model for the Middle East and Northern Ireland?," Politics & Society, , vol. 33(2), pages 277-326, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:polsoc:v:33:y:2005:i:2:p:277-326
    DOI: 10.1177/0032329205275196
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    Cited by:

    1. Christopher Farrington, 2006. "Non-Violent Opposition to Peace Processes: Northern Ireland's Serial Spoilers," Working Papers 200605, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.

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