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The Single-cutoff Trap

Author

Listed:
  • Mark J. Young
  • Lisbeth S. Fried
  • John M. Eisenberg
  • John C. Hershey
  • Sankey V. Williams

Abstract

Quantitative analysis of exercise electrocardiograms has been emphasized by many inves tigators. Specific problems have been found when a single cutoff is used to define a positive or a negative test: a single cutoff does not distinguish stress electrocardiography results that are slightly positive from those that are markedly positive. This may lead clinicians to un derweigh strong evidence for or against coronary artery disease. This study evaluated cli nicians' quantitative analysis of stress electrocardiograms. Two hundred and thirty-five physicians interpreted the results of mildly positive (1.2 mm ST-segment depression) and strongly pos itive (2.2 mm ST-segment depression) stress electrocardiograms. Their posttest probability estimates were too high for a mildly positive test (0.62 ± 0.02 versus actual of 0.38; p

Suggested Citation

  • Mark J. Young & Lisbeth S. Fried & John M. Eisenberg & John C. Hershey & Sankey V. Williams, 1989. "The Single-cutoff Trap," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 9(3), pages 176-180, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:medema:v:9:y:1989:i:3:p:176-180
    DOI: 10.1177/0272989X8900900305
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Davis, Elizabeth B. & Ashton, Robert H., 2002. "Threshold adjustment in response to asymmetric loss functions: The case of auditors' "substantial doubt" thresholds," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 1082-1099, November.
    2. Kevin A. Schulman & José J. Escarce & John M. Eisenberg & John C. Hershey & Mark J. Young & David M. McCarthy & Sankey V. Williams, 1992. "Assessing Physicians Estimates of the Probability of Coronary Artery Disease," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 12(2), pages 109-114, June.

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