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Macroeconomic Announcements and the Implied Volatility Index: Evidence from India VIX

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  • Imlak Shaikh
  • Puja Padhi

Abstract

This study examines the impact of scheduled macroeconomic announcements on the option’s implied volatility index in the emerging market. The macroeconomic indicators considered are RBI monetary policy statements, the consumer price index, wholesale price index, index of industrial production, the employment rate and gross domestic product (GDP growth rate). The study reveals that during non-announcement periods the implied volatility index (India VIX) increases significantly. Once results are announced, uncertainty is resolved and the India VIX returns to normal levels. It confirms that the India VIX declines significantly following scheduled GDP news, but rises significantly on the announcement of monthly inflation rates (WPI). Indeed, the joint effect of the announcements relating to monetary policy, the industrial output, employment rate and GDP is found to be statistically significant (and negative). JEL Classification: E52, E58, G12, G14

Suggested Citation

  • Imlak Shaikh & Puja Padhi, 2013. "Macroeconomic Announcements and the Implied Volatility Index: Evidence from India VIX," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 7(4), pages 417-442, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:mareco:v:7:y:2013:i:4:p:417-442
    DOI: 10.1177/0973801013500168
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroeconomic Announcements; Implied Volatility Index; Information Content; India VIX; RBI Policy Statement; MCIR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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