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Measuring Short-Run Uncertainty of Outcome in Sporting Leagues

Author

Listed:
  • Alistair Dawson

    (Staffordshire University Business School)

  • Paul Downward

    (Staffordshire University Business School)

Abstract

We note the recurrence of errors in specifying an econometric proxy for short-run uncertainty of outcome in sporting fixtures. This research note aims to prevent the spread of these errors because they are becoming embedded in a growing literature. The note also suggests how investigators might more usefully define uncertainty of outcome.

Suggested Citation

  • Alistair Dawson & Paul Downward, 2005. "Measuring Short-Run Uncertainty of Outcome in Sporting Leagues," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 6(3), pages 303-313, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jospec:v:6:y:2005:i:3:p:303-313
    DOI: 10.1177/1527002504266631
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Young Lee & Rodney Fort, 2008. "Attendance and the Uncertainty-of-Outcome Hypothesis in Baseball," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 33(4), pages 281-295, December.
    2. Hayley Jang & Young Hoon Lee & Rodney Fort, 2019. "Winning In Professional Team Sports: Historical Moments," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 103-120, January.
    3. Trung Minh Dang & Ross Booth & Robert Brooks & Adi Schnytzer, 2015. "Do TV Viewers Value Uncertainty of Outcome? Evidence from the Australian Football League," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 91(295), pages 523-535, December.
    4. Dorian Owen, 2014. "Measurement of competitive balance and uncertainty of outcome," Chapters, in: John Goddard & Peter Sloane (ed.), Handbook on the Economics of Professional Football, chapter 3, pages 41-59, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Erik Å trumbelj, 2016. "A Comment on the Bias of Probabilities Derived From Betting Odds and Their Use in Measuring Outcome Uncertainty," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 17(1), pages 12-26, January.
    6. Chris Judde & Ross Booth & Robert Brooks, 2013. "Second Place Is First of the Losers," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 14(4), pages 411-439, August.
    7. Lei Xinrong & Humphreys Brad R., 2013. "Game importance as a dimension of uncertainty of outcome," Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 25-36, March.

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