IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/jocore/v67y2023i10p1845-1872.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Arctic Shock: Utilizing Climate Change to Test a Theory of Resource Competition

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan N. Markowitz

Abstract

Why do some states project military force to seek control of resources, while others do not? Conventional wisdom asserts that resource-scarce states should have the strongest interest in securing control over resources. Counter-intuitively, I argue that, under existing conditions, the opposite is true. It is not resource-scarce states that will be more interested in militarily seeking additional resources, but rather states that are resource-abundant and dependent on income from extracting those resources. I test this proposition by leveraging a natural experiment that analyzes how states reacted to an exogenous shock that exposed resources in the Arctic in 2007. I employ original data that measures the change in states’ Arctic military presence before and after the shock. I find that dependence, not scarcity, explains how states responded to the shock. The findings enhance our understanding of the causes of resource competition and the geopolitical implications of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan N. Markowitz, 2023. "Arctic Shock: Utilizing Climate Change to Test a Theory of Resource Competition," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 67(10), pages 1845-1872, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:67:y:2023:i:10:p:1845-1872
    DOI: 10.1177/00220027231153577
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00220027231153577
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/00220027231153577?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jonathan Markowitz & Christopher Fariss & R. Blake McMahon, 2019. "Producing Goods and Projecting Power: How What You Make Influences What You Take," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 63(6), pages 1368-1402, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christopher J. Fariss & Therese Anders & Jonathan N. Markowitz & Miriam Barnum, 2022. "New Estimates of Over 500 Years of Historic GDP and Population Data," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 66(3), pages 553-591, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:67:y:2023:i:10:p:1845-1872. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://pss.la.psu.edu/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.