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The Nonlinear Dynamics of International Conflict

Author

Listed:
  • Murray Wolfson
  • Anil Puri
  • Mario Martelli

    (California State University - Fullerton)

Abstract

A nonlinear dynamic model is presented that reconciles balance-of-power and preponderance-of-power theories of international conflict in terms of the interaction of economic and political constraints. It is shown that the apparent paradox and complexity of conflict trajectories arise as much from the nonlinear nature of the system as from the multiplicity of causes. Convergent, explosive, oscillating, and chaotic regimes arise from the model depending on the choice of parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Murray Wolfson & Anil Puri & Mario Martelli, 1992. "The Nonlinear Dynamics of International Conflict," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 36(1), pages 119-149, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:36:y:1992:i:1:p:119-149
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002792036001005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Murray Wolfson, 1992. "Essays on the Cold War," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-12005-5, September.
    6. Garfinkel, Michelle R, 1990. "Arming as a Strategic Investment in a Cooperative Equilibrium," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 80(1), pages 50-68, March.
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