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Soviet Military and Civilian Resource Allocation 1951-1980

Author

Listed:
  • Paul M. Johnson

    (Department of Political Science, Florida State University)

  • Robert A. Wells

    (Department of Political Science, University of New Orleans)

Abstract

The “guns versus butter†literature focuses mainly on the industrialized capitalist democracies and has reported little success in empirically substantiating the existence of durable trade-off relationships between military spending and particular civilian programs during peacetime. This article identifies structural features of Soviet-type politicoeconomic systems that make them more likely to display such durable trade-offs and then demonstrates the point by multiple regression time-series estimation of the effects of changing rates of growth in Soviet military spending on 13 major civilian programs during the period 1951-1980, controlling for demographic, economic growth, and leadership succession effects. Despite considerable noise in the Soviet military spending data, substantial and robust trade-off phenomena are demonstrated only for housing construction and the production of durable consumer goods, whereas ideologically favored programs for productive investment and social spending (except perhaps old-age pensions) appear to have been much less affected by marginal changes in military spending.

Suggested Citation

  • Paul M. Johnson & Robert A. Wells, 1986. "Soviet Military and Civilian Resource Allocation 1951-1980," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 30(2), pages 195-219, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:30:y:1986:i:2:p:195-219
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002786030002001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Raymond Hutchings, 1983. "The Soviet Budget," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-349-05858-7, December.
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