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The Guns of November

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  • Richard J. Stoll

    (Department of Political Science, Rice University)

Abstract

A number of recent studies have investigated relationships between the presidential election cycle and the implementation of various policies. This article falls in this tradition, and asks whether a link exists between the reelection efforts of presidents, and the visible use of military force by the United States. After outlining why, and under what conditions, such a connection can be expected, a multivariate statistical model is tested for the time period 1947-1982. Despite the presence of several control variables, the results indicate that there is a connection, with fewer visible uses of force associated with presidential reelections in peacetime, and a slight increase in uses of force associated with presidential reelections during wartime.

Suggested Citation

  • Richard J. Stoll, 1984. "The Guns of November," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(2), pages 231-246, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:jocore:v:28:y:1984:i:2:p:231-246
    DOI: 10.1177/0022002784028002002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. White, Kenneth J, 1978. "A General Computer Program for Econometric Methods-Shazam," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(1), pages 239-240, January.
    2. Ginsberg, Benjamin, 1976. "Elections and Public Policy," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 70(1), pages 41-49, March.
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