IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/jedbes/v46y2021i1p3-33.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Using Pooled Heteroskedastic Ordered Probit Models to Improve Small-Sample Estimates of Latent Test Score Distributions

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin R. Shear

    (1877University of Colorado-Boulder)

  • Sean F. Reardon

    (6429Stanford University Graduate School of Education)

Abstract

This article describes an extension to the use of heteroskedastic ordered probit (HETOP) models to estimate latent distributional parameters from grouped, ordered-categorical data by pooling across multiple waves of data. We illustrate the method with aggregate proficiency data reporting the number of students in schools or districts scoring in each of a small number of ordered “proficiency†levels. HETOP models can be used to estimate means and standard deviations of the underlying (latent) test score distributions but may yield biased or very imprecise estimates when group sample sizes are small. A simulation study demonstrates that the pooled HETOP models described here can reduce the bias and sampling error of standard deviation estimates when group sample sizes are small. Analyses of real test score data demonstrate the use of the models and suggest the pooled models are likely to improve estimates in applied contexts.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin R. Shear & Sean F. Reardon, 2021. "Using Pooled Heteroskedastic Ordered Probit Models to Improve Small-Sample Estimates of Latent Test Score Distributions," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 46(1), pages 3-33, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:jedbes:v:46:y:2021:i:1:p:3-33
    DOI: 10.3102/1076998620922919
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.3102/1076998620922919
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.3102/1076998620922919?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anna N. Angelos Tosteson & Colin B. Begg, 1988. "A General Regression Methodology for ROC Curve Estimation," Medical Decision Making, , vol. 8(3), pages 204-215, August.
    2. Dale Ballou, 2009. "Test Scaling and Value-Added Measurement," Education Finance and Policy, MIT Press, vol. 4(4), pages 351-383, October.
    3. Harvey, A C, 1976. "Estimating Regression Models with Multiplicative Heteroscedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 44(3), pages 461-465, May.
    4. Keane, Michael P, 1992. "A Note on Identification in the Multinomial Probit Model," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 10(2), pages 193-200, April.
    5. Alan Agresti & Maria Kateri, 2017. "Ordinal probability effect measures for group comparisons in multinomial cumulative link models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 73(1), pages 214-219, March.
    6. Ben Domingue, 2014. "Evaluating the Equal-Interval Hypothesis with Test Score Scales," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 79(1), pages 1-19, January.
    7. Fienberg, Stephen E. & Holland, Paul W., 1972. "On the choice of flattening constants for estimating multinomial probabilities," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 127-134, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Daniel F. McCaffrey & Steven A. Culpepper, 2021. "Introduction to JEBS Special Issue on NAEP Linked Aggregate Scores," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 46(2), pages 135-137, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. J. R. Lockwood & Katherine E. Castellano & Benjamin R. Shear, 2018. "Flexible Bayesian Models for Inferences From Coarsened, Group-Level Achievement Data," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 43(6), pages 663-692, December.
    2. David M. Quinn & Andrew D. Ho, 2021. "Ordinal Approaches to Decomposing Between-Group Test Score Disparities," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 46(4), pages 466-500, August.
    3. Sean F. Reardon & Benjamin R. Shear & Katherine E. Castellano & Andrew D. Ho, 2017. "Using Heteroskedastic Ordered Probit Models to Recover Moments of Continuous Test Score Distributions From Coarsened Data," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 42(1), pages 3-45, February.
    4. Fernandez-Cornejo, Jorge & Wechsler, Seth James, 2012. "Fifteen Years Later: Examining the Adoption of Bt Corn Varieties by U.S. Farmers," 2012 Annual Meeting, August 12-14, 2012, Seattle, Washington 124257, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. Matthew Gentzkow, 2007. "Valuing New Goods in a Model with Complementarity: Online Newspapers," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 713-744, June.
    6. Brown, Sarah & Greene, William H. & Harris, Mark N. & Taylor, Karl, 2015. "An inverse hyperbolic sine heteroskedastic latent class panel tobit model: An application to modelling charitable donations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 228-236.
    7. Ay, Jean-Sauveur & Le Gallo, Julie, 2021. "The Signaling Values of Nested Wine Names," Working Papers 321851, American Association of Wine Economists.
    8. Jenkins, Robin R. & Martinez, Salvador A. & Palmer, Karen & Podolsky, Michael J., 2003. "The determinants of household recycling: a material-specific analysis of recycling program features and unit pricing," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(2), pages 294-318, March.
    9. Panayi, Efstathios & Peters, Gareth W. & Danielsson, Jon & Zigrand, Jean-Pierre, 2018. "Designating market maker behaviour in limit order book markets," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 5(C), pages 20-44.
    10. Domenico Piccolo & Rosaria Simone, 2019. "The class of cub models: statistical foundations, inferential issues and empirical evidence," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 28(3), pages 389-435, September.
    11. Stern, David I. & Gerlagh, Reyer & Burke, Paul J., 2017. "Modeling the emissions–income relationship using long-run growth rates," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(6), pages 699-724, December.
    12. Ryan A. Decker & Pablo N. D'Erasmo & Hernan Moscoso Boedo, 2016. "Market Exposure and Endogenous Firm Volatility over the Business Cycle," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 148-198, January.
    13. Koedel Cory & Leatherman Rebecca & Parsons Eric, 2012. "Test Measurement Error and Inference from Value-Added Models," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 12(1), pages 1-37, November.
    14. Ansgar Belke & Robert Czudaj, 2010. "Is Euro Area Money Demand (Still) Stable? Cointegrated VAR Versus Single Equation Techniques," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, vol. 56(4), pages 285-315.
    15. Haaijer, Marinus E., 1996. "Predictions in conjoint choice experiments : the x-factor probit model," Research Report 96B22, University of Groningen, Research Institute SOM (Systems, Organisations and Management).
    16. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2018_017 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Stacy, Brian, 2014. "Ranking Teachers when Teacher Value-Added is Heterogeneous Across Students," EconStor Preprints 104743, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    18. Jiannan Lu & Peng Ding & Tirthankar Dasgupta, 2018. "Treatment Effects on Ordinal Outcomes: Causal Estimands and Sharp Bounds," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 43(5), pages 540-567, October.
    19. Makoto Chikaraishi & Akimasa Fujiwara & Junyi Zhang & Kay Axhausen, 2011. "Identifying variations and co-variations in discrete choice models," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(6), pages 993-1016, November.
    20. Seth Gershenson, 2016. "Performance Standards and Employee Effort: Evidence From Teacher Absences," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(3), pages 615-638, June.
    21. Xiaolu Tang & César Pérez-Cruzado & Lutz Fehrmann & Juan Gabriel Álvarez-González & Yuanchang Lu & Christoph Kleinn, 2016. "Development of a Compatible Taper Function and Stand-Level Merchantable Volume Model for Chinese Fir Plantations," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:jedbes:v:46:y:2021:i:1:p:3-33. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.