IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/inrsre/v7y1982i2p99-125.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Factors of Urban Population Growth: Net Immigration versus Natural Increase

Author

Listed:
  • Jacques Ledent

    (Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique-Urbanisation, Montreal, Quebec H2X 2C6 Canada)

Abstract

As a country evolves from a traditional to an advanced society, the part of urban growth that is due to net immigration follows a simple pattern, which can be described by an inverted U-shaped curve: it first increases, then passes through a maximum, and decreases thereafter. This hypothesis is confirmed by quantitative analysis using time-series and cross-section data. The analysis suggests that in the second half of this century natural increase often provides a slightly higher contribution to urban population growth than net immigration.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Ledent, 1982. "The Factors of Urban Population Growth: Net Immigration versus Natural Increase," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 7(2), pages 99-125, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:7:y:1982:i:2:p:99-125
    DOI: 10.1177/016001768200700202
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/016001768200700202
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/016001768200700202?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ledent, Jacques, 1982. "Rural-Urban Migration, Urbanization, and Economic Development," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(3), pages 507-538, April.
    2. Donald McNeil & T. Trullell & John Turner, 1977. "Spline interpolation of demographic oata," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 14(2), pages 245-252, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ian Diamond & John McDonald & Iqbal Shah, 1986. "Proportional hazards models for current status data: Application to the study of differentials in age at weaning in Pakistan," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 23(4), pages 607-620, November.
    2. Long, John F., 1985. "Migration and the phases of population redistribution," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 29-42.
    3. Sigurd Dyrting & Andrew Taylor & Tom Wilson, 2024. "Application of P-TOPALS for Smoothing Input Data for Population Projections ‘At the Edge’," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 43(2), pages 1-28, April.
    4. Zhao, Qianyu & Bao, Helen X.H. & Zhang, Zhanlu, 2021. "Off-farm employment and agricultural land use efficiency in China," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    5. Lidia Diappi, 2015. "City Size and Urbanization in Mediterranean Cities," SCIENZE REGIONALI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2015(1), pages 129-137.
    6. Pavel Grigoriev & Anatoli I. Michalski & Vasily P. Gorlischev & Dmitri A. Jdanov & Vladimir M. Shkolnikov, 2018. "New methods for estimating detailed fertility schedules from abridged data," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2018-001, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    7. Roberto IMPICCIATORE & Francesco C. BILLARI, 2010. "MAPLES: a general method for the estimation of age profiles from standard demographic surveys (with an application to fertility)," Departmental Working Papers 2010-40, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    8. Cris Beauchemin & Philippe Bocquier, 2004. "Migration and Urbanisation in Francophone West Africa: An Overview of the Recent Empirical Evidence," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 41(11), pages 2245-2272, October.
    9. Aude Bernard & Martin Bell, 2015. "Smoothing internal migration age profiles for comparative research," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 32(33), pages 915-948.
    10. Carl Schmertmann, 2021. "D-splines: Estimating rate schedules using high-dimensional splines with empirical demographic penalties," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 44(45), pages 1085-1114.
    11. Lawrence Brown & John Jones, 1985. "Spatial Variation In Migration Processes And Development: A Costa Rican Example Of Conventional Modeling Augmented By The Expansion Method," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 22(3), pages 327-352, August.
    12. Jacques Ledent, 1986. "A Model of Urbanization with Nonlinear Migration Flows," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 10(3), pages 221-242, December.
    13. Marc Helbling & Daniel Meierrieks, 2023. "Global warming and urbanization," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 36(3), pages 1187-1223, July.
    14. Njenga, Carolyn Ndigwako & Sherris, Michael, 2020. "Modeling mortality with a Bayesian vector autoregression," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 40-57.
    15. William, Jananie & Loong, Bronwyn & Hanna, Dana & Parkinson, Bonny & Loxton, Deborah, 2022. "Lifetime health costs of intimate partner violence: A prospective longitudinal cohort study with linked data for out-of-hospital and pharmaceutical costs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    16. Fanny Janssen & Anton Kunst & Johan Mackenbach, 2007. "Variations in the pace of old-age mortality decline in seven European countries, 1950–1999: the role of smoking and other factors earlier in life," European Journal of Population, Springer;European Association for Population Studies, vol. 23(2), pages 171-188, June.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:7:y:1982:i:2:p:99-125. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.