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The Factors of Urban Population Growth: Net Immigration versus Natural Increase

Author

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  • Jacques Ledent

    (Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique-Urbanisation, Montreal, Quebec H2X 2C6 Canada)

Abstract

As a country evolves from a traditional to an advanced society, the part of urban growth that is due to net immigration follows a simple pattern, which can be described by an inverted U-shaped curve: it first increases, then passes through a maximum, and decreases thereafter. This hypothesis is confirmed by quantitative analysis using time-series and cross-section data. The analysis suggests that in the second half of this century natural increase often provides a slightly higher contribution to urban population growth than net immigration.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Ledent, 1982. "The Factors of Urban Population Growth: Net Immigration versus Natural Increase," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 7(2), pages 99-125, October.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:7:y:1982:i:2:p:99-125
    DOI: 10.1177/016001768200700202
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Donald McNeil & T. Trullell & John Turner, 1977. "Spline interpolation of demographic oata," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 14(2), pages 245-252, May.
    2. Ledent, Jacques, 1982. "Rural-Urban Migration, Urbanization, and Economic Development," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(3), pages 507-538, April.
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