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Should I Stay or Should I Go: Predicting Advanced Producer Services Firm Expansion and Contraction

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  • Zachary P. Neal
  • Ben Derudder
  • Peter J. Taylor

Abstract

The literature on firm location selection allows us to retrospectively explain why firms did locate in particular places. However, it remains challenging to prospectively predict where they will locate. In this article, we propose a simple conceptual model of firm location decisions, then operationalize it using the ordinal stochastic degree sequence model (oSDSM). We use this model to predict whether 104 advanced producer service firms will expand, contract, or maintain their presence in each of 525 cities, and find that these predictions are accurate in more than 86 percent of cases. We conclude with suggestions for further refinement of this model.

Suggested Citation

  • Zachary P. Neal & Ben Derudder & Peter J. Taylor, 2019. "Should I Stay or Should I Go: Predicting Advanced Producer Services Firm Expansion and Contraction," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 42(2), pages 207-229, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:inrsre:v:42:y:2019:i:2:p:207-229
    DOI: 10.1177/0160017618784739
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    References listed on IDEAS

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