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The Mathematics of Behavioral Change

Author

Listed:
  • Michael D. Maltz

    (University of Illinois, Chicago Circle)

  • Richard McCleary

    (University of Illinois, Chicago Circle)

Abstract

This paper describes a new method of calculating the failure rate of programs involving behavioral change. The method overcomes a threat to construct validity implicit in the previous calculation method. Using it, one can estimate the failure rate as well as the fraction of program participants who are ultimately expected to remain successful. We illustrate the use of the method with data from a cohort of parolees. However, it should be of interest to those engaged in evaluating other programs that attempt to change individual behavior.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael D. Maltz & Richard McCleary, 1977. "The Mathematics of Behavioral Change," Evaluation Review, , vol. 1(3), pages 421-438, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:evarev:v:1:y:1977:i:3:p:421-438
    DOI: 10.1177/0193841X7700100304
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stephen Stollmack & Carl M. Harris, 1974. "Failure-Rate Analysis Applied to Recidivism Data," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 22(6), pages 1192-1205, December.
    2. Michael D. Maltz, 1975. "Measures of Effectiveness for Crime Reduction Programs," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 23(3), pages 452-474, June.
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