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Estimating and projecting the populations of urban communities

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  • P Rees

Abstract

The author describes a model for estimating and projecting the populations of communities living in small areas within cities. The model provides a means of updating the demographic inputs needed for projection between censuses and means of developing scenarios of demographic change and housing development. The method for estimating small-area populations between censuses is evaluated with recently published 1991 Census data. Single-year age-group detail is provided and the associated databases are embedded in a flexible user interface. Illustrative projections are discussed and interpreted for the northern English city of Bradford.

Suggested Citation

  • P Rees, 1994. "Estimating and projecting the populations of urban communities," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 26(11), pages 1671-1697, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:26:y:1994:i:11:p:1671-1697
    DOI: 10.1177/0308518X9402601101
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    Cited by:

    1. Guillaume Marois & Alain Bélanger, 2014. "Microsimulation Model Projecting Small Area Populations Using Contextual Variables: An Application to the Montreal Metropolitan Area, 2006-2031," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 7(1), pages 158-193.
    2. P Williamson & M Birkin & P H Rees, 1998. "The Estimation of Population Microdata by Using Data from Small Area Statistics and Samples of Anonymised Records," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 30(5), pages 785-816, May.
    3. Pavlos S Kanaroglou & Hanna F Maoh & Bruce Newbold & Darren M Scott & Antonio Paez, 2009. "A Demographic Model for Small Area Population Projections: An Application to the Census Metropolitan Area of Hamilton in Ontario, Canada," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 41(4), pages 964-979, April.

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