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Estimating the Economic and Demographic Effects of an Air Quality Management Plan: The Case of Southern California

Author

Listed:
  • S Lieu

    (South Coast Air Quality Management District, 21865 Copley Drive, Diamond Bar, CA 91765, USA)

  • G I Treyz

    (Department of Economics, University of Massachusets at Amherst, Amherst, MA 01003, USA)

Abstract

The 1991 Air Quality Management Plan (AQMP) for the south coast air basin in California is designed to meet federal and state air quality standards. The direct effects of implementing the plan fall into the following categories: changes in business costs, shifts in the composition and amount of spending, and increases in the quality-of-life amenities. Inputting these effects into an economic and demographic forecasting and simulation model of the basin's economy, that includes business and human migration responses, we predict that up to the year 2000 employment will be increased by the AQMP, whereas real per capita disposable income (as it is traditionally meausred) will decrease. Net increases in employment result because decreases arising from increased costs are offset by net increases from spending changes and the effects of migration arising from amenity benefits derived from improved air quality.

Suggested Citation

  • S Lieu & G I Treyz, 1992. "Estimating the Economic and Demographic Effects of an Air Quality Management Plan: The Case of Southern California," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 24(12), pages 1799-1811, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:24:y:1992:i:12:p:1799-1811
    DOI: 10.1068/a241799
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lieu, T S, 1986. "Impacts of Air Pollution Control Costs: An Input-Output Approach," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 20(2), pages 55-65, July.
    2. Sue Lieu, 1991. "Regional Impacts Of Air Quality Regulation: Applying An Economic Model," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 9(3), pages 24-34, July.
    3. S Cassing & F Giarratani, 1992. "An Evaluation of the REMI Model for the South Coast Air Quality Management District," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 24(11), pages 1549-1564, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kelly Robinson, 1997. "The regional economic impacts of voluntary pollution prevention in New Jersey," Business Strategy and the Environment, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6(3), pages 133-145, July.
    2. D S Rickman & R K Schwer, 1995. "Multiplier Comparisons of the IMPLAN and REMI Models across Versions: Illuminating Black Boxes," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 27(1), pages 143-151, January.
    3. C-H C Bae, 1997. "The Equity Impacts of Los Angeles' Air Quality Policies," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 29(9), pages 1563-1584, September.
    4. Chengliang Liu & Qinchang Gui, 2016. "Mapping intellectual structures and dynamics of transport geography research: a scientometric overview from 1982 to 2014," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 109(1), pages 159-184, October.

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