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Modeling the Macrodynamics of International Migration: Determinants of Emigration from Cyprus, 1946–85

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  • N D Diamantides

    (Dynamic Modeling and Analytics, 2517 14th Street, Cuyahoga Falls, OH 44223, USA)

  • S T Constantinou

    (The Ohio State University, Mansfield Campus, 1680 University Drive, Mansfield, OH 44906, USA)

Abstract

A model is presented of international migration that is based on the concept of a pool of potential emigrants at the origin created by push — pull forces and by the establishment of information feedback between origin and destination. The forces can be economic, political, or both, and are analytically expressed by the ‘mediating factor’. The model is macrodynamic in nature and provides both for the main secular component of the migratory flow and for transient components caused by extraordinary events. The model is expressed in a Bernoulli-type differential equation through which quantitative weights can be derived for each of the operating causes. Out-migration from the Republic of Cyprus is used to test the tenets of the model.

Suggested Citation

  • N D Diamantides & S T Constantinou, 1989. "Modeling the Macrodynamics of International Migration: Determinants of Emigration from Cyprus, 1946–85," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 21(7), pages 927-950, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:21:y:1989:i:7:p:927-950
    DOI: 10.1068/a210927
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Panagides, Stahis Solomon, 1967. "An econometric study of the Cyprus economy," ISU General Staff Papers 196701010800004173, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. F. Bourguignon & B. Fernet & Georges Gallais-Hamonno, 1977. "International Labour Migrations and Economic Choices," Post-Print halshs-00276173, HAL.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dixon, Peter B. & Honkatukia, Juha & Rimmer, Maureen T., 2011. "The marginal costs of funds in the VATTAGE model of Finland: a back of the envelope justification of the welfare effects of additional government revenue," Conference papers 332135, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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