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Stochastic Carrier Models for the Simulation of Hodgkin's Disease in a System of Regions

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  • R W Thomas

    (School of Geography, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, England)

Abstract

In this paper I build on earlier work, which entailed the construction of a deterministic carrier model to simulate the incidence of Hodgkin's disease. This model is developed into an operational stochastic form, which is tested on the monthly incidence of Hodgkin's disease in Greater Manchester, 1962 to 1976. A further refinement is the transformation of this model into a multiregion model, which makes use of gravity interactions in order to simulate cross-boundary interactions. The results of an experiment, designed to show the impact of the friction-of-distance parameter and of the number of regions on the performance of the model, are reported.

Suggested Citation

  • R W Thomas, 1988. "Stochastic Carrier Models for the Simulation of Hodgkin's Disease in a System of Regions," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 20(12), pages 1575-1601, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:20:y:1988:i:12:p:1575-1601
    DOI: 10.1068/a201575
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thomas, R.W., 1988. "Carrier models for the simulation of Hodgkin's disease: A review with some extensions," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 131-140, January.
    2. Martin Clarke & M. E. Spowage, 1984. "Integrated Models For Public Policy Analysis: An Example Of The Practical Use Of Simulation Models In Health Care Planning," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(1), pages 25-45, January.
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