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Real Convergence and the EU Accession Countries

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  • Mark J. Holmes
  • Ping Wang

Abstract

We test for long–run real interest rate parity involving the ten new member states that joined the European Union in 2004 and the US, UK and Germany. We utilise a novel panel data approach whereby unit root tests are conducted within a seemingly unrelated regression framework. This procedure provides increased power over univariate unit root tests and offers key advantages over existing panel data tests insofar as cross–sectional dependency is addressed and individual stationary panel members are identified. In contrast to existing peripheral Eurozone members, we find that a majority of the new member states are characterised by real interest parity.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark J. Holmes & Ping Wang, 2008. "Real Convergence and the EU Accession Countries," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 7(3), pages 215-236, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:emffin:v:7:y:2008:i:3:p:215-236
    DOI: 10.1177/097265270800700301
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    Cited by:

    1. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Tsangyao Chang & Zahra (Mila) Elmi & Omid Ranjbar, 2019. "Real Interest Rate Parity And Fourier Quantile Unit Root Test," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(3), pages 348-358, July.
    2. Öge Güney, Pelin & Hasanov, Mübariz, 2014. "Real interest rate parity hypothesis in post-Soviet countries: Evidence from unit root tests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 120-129.
    3. Su, Chi-Wei & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Liu, Lin, 2012. "Real interest rate parity with Flexible Fourier stationary test for Central and Eastern European countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(6), pages 2719-2723.
    4. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Soon, Siew-Voon & Boršič, Darja, 2013. "Real interest parity in Central and Eastern European countries: Evidence on integration into EU and the US markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 163-180.
    5. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Dominique Pepin & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2014. "A re-examination of real interest parity in CEECs using old and new generations of panel unit root tests," Papers 1403.3627, arXiv.org.

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