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Rebel institutions and negotiated peace

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  • Karen Albert

Abstract

Civil wars are difficult to resolve through negotiated settlements. Rebel institutions are thought to make negotiations more successful. I show, however, that this positive association does not hold. Rather, rebel service provision is negatively correlated with successful negotiated settlements. The well-established literature on commitment problems suggests that negotiated settlements are not reached because governments end negotiations amidst fears of rebel growth from civilian support derived from service provision. I offer an alternative explanation—strategic stalling—based on rebel incentives to realize the full long-term benefits of service provision. Qualitative evidence shows that observable implications of strategic stalling are observed in the cases surveyed.

Suggested Citation

  • Karen Albert, 2023. "Rebel institutions and negotiated peace," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 40(3), pages 239-259, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:compsc:v:40:y:2023:i:3:p:239-259
    DOI: 10.1177/07388942221147508
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    References listed on IDEAS

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