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Consequential Damage and Nuclear Deterrence

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  • Charles H. Anderton
  • Thomas Fogarty

Abstract

We present a geometric generalization of the Intriligator-Brito deterrence/attack model that can accomodate a variety of assumptions about the effectiveness of weapons. Our analysis implies that empirical consideration of weapons effectiveness is crucial to strategic application of the model. We also incorporate consequential damage into the model, i.e., destruction that is not relatively immediate, but is realized over long periods of time after war has broken out. We find that consequential damage significantly alters the deterrence/attack interpretations applied to relative and absolute weapons stocks in a nuclear deterrence relationship.

Suggested Citation

  • Charles H. Anderton & Thomas Fogarty, 1990. "Consequential Damage and Nuclear Deterrence," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:compsc:v:11:y:1990:i:1:p:1-16
    DOI: 10.1177/073889429001100101
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Murray Wolfson, 1987. "A theorem on the existence of zones of initiation and deterrence in Intriligator-Brito arms race models," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 291-297, August.
    2. D. L. Brito & M. D. Intriligator, 1974. "Uncertainty and the Stability of the Armaments Race," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 3, number 1, pages 279-292, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Coyne,Christopher J., 2020. "Defense, Peace, and War Economics," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781108724036, September.
    2. Isard Walter & Anderton Charles H., 1999. "Survey of the Peace Economics Literature: Recent Key Contributions and a Comprehensive Coverage Up to 1992 (Part II)," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 5(4), pages 1-55, October.

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