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On the Theory of Residual Analyses and Abnormal Performance Metrics

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  • James A. Ohlson

    (School of Business, University of California, Berkeley. The author wishes to thank the participants in the Berkeley-Stanford accounting workshop for many valuable comments on an earlier draft of this paper. Special thanks are due Paul Griffin. Of course, any errors in the paper are those of the author.)

Abstract

In spite of the proliferation of alternative API metrics, little interpretation and comparison of them has been conducted. Their relationship with the capital asset pricing model has remained obscure. This paper attempts to clarify these and other issues. The major conclusion is that API (or residual) analysis is not satisfactory for testing market efficiency and, therefore, it seems premature to conclude that available evidence is consistent with efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • James A. Ohlson, 1978. "On the Theory of Residual Analyses and Abnormal Performance Metrics," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 3(2), pages 175-193, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:ausman:v:3:y:1978:i:2:p:175-193
    DOI: 10.1177/031289627800300205
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    2. Merton, Robert C, 1969. "Lifetime Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty: The Continuous-Time Case," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(3), pages 247-257, August.
    3. Kaplan, Robert S & Roll, Richard, 1972. "Investor Evaluation of Accounting Information: Some Empirical Evidence," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 45(2), pages 225-257, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Karen Benson & Peter M Clarkson & Tom Smith & Irene Tutticci, 2015. "A review of accounting research in the Asia Pacific region," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 40(1), pages 36-88, February.
    2. Karen Benson & Millicent Chang & Philip Gray & Sue Wright, 2019. "The enduring and evolving influence of Ball and Brown (1968)," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 44(1), pages 153-159, February.
    3. Clinch, Greg & Lyon, John D. & Pinnuck, Matt, 2019. "A review of the impact of Ball and Brown (1968) on research in the Asia-Pacific Basin," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 268-277.

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