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A ‘Soft’ Balancing Ménage à Trois? China, Iran and Russia Strategic Triangle vis-à -vis US Hegemony

Author

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  • Maria (Mary) Papageorgiou
  • Mohammad Eslami
  • Paulo Afonso B. Duarte

Abstract

The recent rapprochement among China, Iran and Russia reveals the emergence of a new, unexpected, regional strategic triangle with the potential to balance the United States’ dominant position. By focusing on the evolution of this strategic triangle in the post-Cold War period, this article investigates the driving forces that bring the three states together, namely the US power and unilateralism as materialised in NATO’s eastward expansion, the sanctions on Russia after the annexation of Crimea and the war in Ukraine, the sanctions against Iran, the US trade war with China and the hostile US posture during the coronavirus disease-2019 pandemic. Drawing on soft balancing theory, this article provides an empirical assessment of China–Iran– Russia strategies in countering the US power. Thus, this article aims to fill a gap in the existing literature by investigating this triangular relationship and its balancing potential under the analytic construct of a strategic triangle. Finally, the analysis demonstrates that the three states have employed soft balancing mechanisms, primarily economic strengthening and entangling diplomacy in international institutions. At the same time, territorial denial was sought on various occasions due to the regional importance of this triangular relationship. In conclusion, the article also offers insights into potential hard-balancing behaviour in the long run.

Suggested Citation

  • Maria (Mary) Papageorgiou & Mohammad Eslami & Paulo Afonso B. Duarte, 2023. "A ‘Soft’ Balancing Ménage à Trois? China, Iran and Russia Strategic Triangle vis-à -vis US Hegemony," Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, , vol. 10(1), pages 65-94, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:sae:asseca:v:10:y:2023:i:1:p:65-94
    DOI: 10.1177/23477970231152008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Riham Bahi, 2021. "The geopolitics of COVID-19: US-China rivalry and the imminent Kindleberger trap," Review of Economics and Political Science, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 6(1), pages 76-94, May.
    2. Md Abdul Mannan, 2020. "China’s Balancing Behaviour Against the United States and the Special Importance of Myanmar," Journal of Asian Security and International Affairs, , vol. 7(2), pages 177-201, August.
    3. repec:eme:reps00:reps-10-2020-0153 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. James Hughes, 2013. "Russia and the Secession of Kosovo: Power, Norms and the Failure of Multilateralism," Europe-Asia Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 65(5), pages 992-1016, July.
    5. Shleifer, Andrei & Treisman, Daniel, 2011. "Why Moscow Says No: A Question of Russian Interests, Not Psychology," Scholarly Articles 27867127, Harvard University Department of Economics.
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