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The Obama Legacy and the Future of Partisan Conflict

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  • Gary C. Jacobson

Abstract

Past research has shown that the perceived successes or failures of presidents have a durable influence on the partisan leanings and political attitudes of people who come of political age during their administrations. Here, I examine data from 344 Gallup surveys with a total of 399,755 respondents interviewed during the Obama presidency to (1) document the extent to which generational imprinting is visible among citizens and demographic subgroups in their party identification and ideology, (2) determine how the political identities and ideologies of people who have come of age during Obama’s presidency have evolved compared with those of earlier presidential generations, (3) explore the implications of the population’s changing demographic makeup and the political attitudes expressed by younger age cohorts for the future partisan balance of the American electorate, and (4) consider how the competition to succeed Obama is likely to affect partisan identities forged during his administration.

Suggested Citation

  • Gary C. Jacobson, 2016. "The Obama Legacy and the Future of Partisan Conflict," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 667(1), pages 72-91, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:anname:v:667:y:2016:i:1:p:72-91
    DOI: 10.1177/0002716216658425
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Erikson, Robert S. & Mackuen, Michael B. & Stimson, James A., 1998. "What Moves Macropartisanship? A Response to Green, Palmquist, and Schickler," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 92(4), pages 901-912, December.
    2. Shaun Bowler & Stephen P. Nicholson & Gary M. Segura, 2006. "Earthquakes and Aftershocks: Race, Direct Democracy, and Partisan Change," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 50(1), pages 146-159, January.
    3. Green, Donald & Palmquist, Bradley & Schickler, Eric, 1998. "Macropartisanship: A Replication and Critique," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 92(4), pages 883-899, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Juan Carlos Huerta & Beatriz Cuartas, 2021. "Red to Purple? Changing Demographics and Party Change in Texas," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 102(4), pages 1330-1348, July.

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