IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/rnp/ecopol/ep1430.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Was the fall of the stock market in 2008 the correction bubble?
[Являлось Ли Падение Фондового Рынка В 2008 Году Коррекцией Пузыря?]

Author

Listed:
  • Chirkova, Elena (Чиркова, Елена)

    (National Research University Higher School of Economics)

Abstract

The article is diagnosed the presence of a bubble on the stock market in 2008 by analyzing the assumptions, direct and indirect signs of a bubble, as well as the analysis of price levels reached before the correction. The study showed that the formation of the prerequisites bubble in 2008 in Russia were favorable economic situation, credit growth and low cost of the loan, state investors. Factors "mass-to-market investors lay" and "the emergence of new communication tools" acted partially. Of the four analyzed indirect signs of a bubble two ("the flow of funds to the stock market from abroad 'and' increase in the number of investment funds") are mild, while two ("IPO growth and underestimation of the shares at the placement" and "narrowness of the market ') are absent. The Russian stock market was no direct evidence of such essential bubble is accelerating sharply rising prices, increased volatility and trading volume just before the collapse. There has been a deep fall was 80%, which, however, was offset by the high recovery rate of the index after correction.

Suggested Citation

  • Chirkova, Elena (Чиркова, Елена), 2014. "Was the fall of the stock market in 2008 the correction bubble? [Являлось Ли Падение Фондового Рынка В 2008 Году Коррекцией Пузыря?]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 3, pages 93-115.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep1430
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repec.ranepa.ru/rnp/ecopol/ep1430.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Froot, Kenneth A & Obstfeld, Maurice, 1991. "Intrinsic Bubbles: The Case of Stock Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1189-1214, December.
    2. Чиркова Елена Владимировна, 2011. "Использование Рыночных Мультипликаторовдля Диагностирования Наличия Финансового Пузыря На Фондовом Рынке," Вестник Финансового университета, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное образовательное бюджетное учреждение высшего профессионального образования «Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации» (Финансовый университет), issue 2, pages 37-44.
    3. Кокорев Дмитрий Александрович & Чиркова Елена Владимировна, 2010. "«Народные» Ipo На Растущих Рынках Капитала," Higher School of Economics Economic Journal Экономический журнал Высшей школы экономики, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 14(2), pages 139-159.
    4. Tim Loughran & Jay Ritter, 2004. "Why Has IPO Underpricing Changed Over Time?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association, vol. 33(3), Fall.
    5. Rajan, Raghuram G. & Zingales, Luigi, 2003. "The great reversals: the politics of financial development in the twentieth century," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 5-50, July.
    6. Чиркова Елена Владимировна, 2012. "Предпосылки Возникновения Финансового Пузыря," Вестник Финансового университета, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное образовательное бюджетное учреждение высшего профессионального образования «Финансовый университет при Правительстве Российской Федерации» (Финансовый университет), issue 1, pages 79-88.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Custódio, Cláudia & Ferreira, Miguel A. & Laureano, Luís, 2013. "Why are US firms using more short-term debt?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(1), pages 182-212.
    2. Alina Sorescu & Sorin M. Sorescu & Will J. Armstrong & Bart Devoldere, 2018. "Two Centuries of Innovations and Stock Market Bubbles," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 37(4), pages 507-529, August.
    3. Carsten Burhop & Thorsten Luebbers, 2011. "The design of licensing contracts: Chemicals, Pharmaceuticals, and Electrical Engineering in Imperial Germany," Cologne Economic History papers 11, University of Cologne, Department of Economic and Business History, revised Jun 2011.
    4. Lin, Z. Jun & Tian, Zhimin, 2012. "Accounting conservatism and IPO underpricing: China evidence," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 127-144.
    5. Wai-Ming Fong & Kevin C. K. Lam & Pauline W. Y. Wong & Yiwei Yao, 2019. "Mergers & acquisitions and the acquirer-target cultural differences," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 633-661, October.
    6. Sibylle H. Lehmann, 2014. "Taking firms to the stock market: IPOs and the importance of large banks in imperial Germany, 1896–1913," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 67(1), pages 92-122, February.
    7. Carsten Burhop & David Chambers & Brian Cheffins, 2011. "Is Regulation Essential to Stock Market Development? Going Public in London and Berlin, 1900-1913," Cologne Economic History papers 10, University of Cologne, Department of Economic and Business History, revised Mar 2011.
    8. Yuchao Fan, 2022. "Dissecting the dot-com bubble in the 1990s NASDAQ," Papers 2206.14130, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
    9. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Wu, Tong & Zhong, Huaming & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in nickel price: What roles do geopolitical risk and speculation play?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    10. Alfonso Mendoza-Velázquez & Luis Carlos Ortuño-Barba & Luis David Conde-Cortés, 2022. "Corporate governance and firm performance in hybrid model countries," Review of Accounting and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 21(1), pages 32-58, February.
    11. Yin He & Bin Li & Yunhua Tian & Lijun Wang, 2016. "Does Foreign Venture Capital Provide More Value-added Services to Initial Public Offering Companies in China?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 24(2), pages 90-106, March.
    12. Morricone, Serena & Munari, Federico & Oriani, Raffaele & de Rassenfosse, Gaetan, 2017. "Commercialization Strategy and IPO Underpricing," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 1133-1141.
    13. Sian Owen & Jo-Ann Suchard, 2013. "The impact of venture capital/private equity investment on the performance of IPOs in Australia," Chapters, in: Mario Levis & Silvio Vismara (ed.), Handbook of Research on IPOs, chapter 19, pages 400-420, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    14. Su, Chen & Brookfield, David, 2013. "An evaluation of the impact of stock market reforms on IPO under-pricing in China: The certification role of underwriters," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 20-33.
    15. Seghezza, Elena & Pittaluga, Giovanni B., 2018. "Resource rents and populism in resource-dependent economies," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 83-88.
    16. G. Menzies & R. Bird & P. Dixon & M. Rimmer, 2010. "Asset Price Regulators, Unite: you have Macroeconomic Stability to Win and the Microeconomic Losses are Second-order," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-205, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    17. Barua, Abheek & Kathuria, Rajat & Malik, Neha, 2016. "The Status of Financial Inclusion, Regulation, and Education in India," ADBI Working Papers 568, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    18. Marco Pagano & Paolo F. Volpin, 2005. "The Political Economy of Corporate Governance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(4), pages 1005-1030, September.
    19. Monnet, Cyril & Quintin, Erwan, 2007. "Why do financial systems differ? History matters," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(4), pages 1002-1017, May.
    20. Haichao Fan & Xiang Gao, 2017. "Domestic Creditor Rights and External Private Debt," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 127(606), pages 2410-2440, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:rnp:ecopol:ep1430. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: RANEPA maintainer (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aneeeru.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.