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Effects of Monetary Policy on Sectoral Output Growth in Nigeria (1986 to 2008)

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Abstract

This study examines the effects of monetary policy on sectoral output growth in Nigeria over the period 1986:1 to 2008:4. The study utilized an Autoregressive Distributed lag (ARDL) model and the findings showed that manufacturing sector is not sensitive to any of the monetary policy variables. In sharp contrast with manufacturing sector, agricultural sector is responsive to changes in interest rate only while service and wholesale/retail economic activities are responsive to exchange rate. Furthermore, interest rate and exchange rate are the major determinants of mining output growth while building/construction sector is more responsive to changes in exchange rate and bank credit. In general exchange rate is the most important and influential monetary policy measure in Nigeria. The study concludes that monetary policy will be more effective if the inherent differences in these sectors are factor in the design of policies in Nigeria.

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  • Saibu M O, 2011. "Effects of Monetary Policy on Sectoral Output Growth in Nigeria (1986 to 2008)," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 2(6), pages 245-254.
    • Handle: RePEc:rnd:arjebs:v:2:y:2011:i:6:p:245-254
    DOI: 10.22610/jebs.v2i6.242
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    1. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    2. Bernanke, Ben S & Blinder, Alan S, 1988. "Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(2), pages 435-439, May.
    3. Feridun, M., & Folawewo, A. O. & Osinubi, T.S ., 2005. "Monetary Policy and Macroeconomic Instability in Nigeria: A Rational Expectation Approach," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(2).
    4. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    5. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
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    1. David Umoru & Harrison Ogbeide Eromosele, 2020. "Growth Stabilisation Effects of Macroeconomic Policy Coordination in Nigeria: An Econometric Analysis," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 6(1), pages 51-60, March.

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