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Interest Rate Risk Analysis with Multifactor Model: The US case

Author

Listed:
  • Natalia Campos

    (epartment of Economic Analysis and Finance, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, School of Economic and Business Sciences)

  • Francisco Jareño

    (Department of Economic Analysis and Finance, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, School of Economic and Business Sciences)

  • Marta Tolentino

    (Department of Economic Analysis and Finance, Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, School of Law and Social Sciences)

Abstract

This study focuses on analyzing the influence of changes in 10-year nominal interest rates on US sector returns, distinguishing two different periods, before and after the subprime crisis. We run the three-factor model of Fama and French, which incorporates as explanatory factors the nominal interest rate and the size and growth opportunities factors. The US sensitivity varies across sectors and periods, but we evidence a similar response to the previous literature. Finally, the “size” effect is higher than the “growth” impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Natalia Campos & Francisco Jareño & Marta Tolentino, 2016. "Interest Rate Risk Analysis with Multifactor Model: The US case," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 14-22, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2016:i:1:p:14-22
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Francisco Jareno, 2008. "Spanish stock market sensitivity to real interest and inflation rates: an extension of the Stone two-factor model with factors of the Fama and French three-factor model," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(24), pages 3159-3171.
    2. Jareño, Francisco & Navarro, Eliseo, 2010. "Stock interest rate risk and inflation shocks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 201(2), pages 337-348, March.
    3. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    4. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    5. Hue Hwa Au Yong & Robert Faff, 2007. "Asia-Pacific banks risk exposures: pre and post the Asian financial crisis," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(6), pages 431-449.
    6. Söhnke Bartram, 2002. "The Interest Rate Exposure of Nonfinancial Corporations," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 6(1), pages 101-125.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Francisco JAREÑO & Marta TOLENTINO & María de la O GONZÁLEZ, 2018. "The Us Stock Market At Sector Level: Inflation News, 1990-2013," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 18(1), pages 73-86.
    2. María de la O & Francisco JAREÑO, Francisco & SKINNER, Frank S., 2017. "The Financial Crisis Impact: An Industry Level Analysis Of The Us Stock Market González," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 17(2), pages 61-74.
    3. González, María de la O & Jareño, Francisco, 2019. "Testing extensions of Fama & French models: A quantile regression approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 188-204.
    4. Serhat Yuksel & Sinemis Zengin, 2016. "Identifying the Determinants of Interest Rate Risk of the Banks," International Journal of Research in Business and Social Science (2147-4478), Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 5(6), pages 12-28, October.
    5. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O & Escolástico, Alba M., 2020. "Extension of the Fama and French model: A study of the largest European financial institutions," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 115-139.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    interest rate sensitivity; sectoral analysis; US stock market; size factor; growth factor;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance
    • L2 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior

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