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A "Generalization" of the Logistic Curves and Long-Range Forecasts (1966-1991) of Residence Telephones

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  • Roshan L. Chaddha
  • Sharad S. Chitgopekar

Abstract

This paper investigates the development of a class of models suggested by an application of the logistic curve to model the growth of Bell System residence telephones. These models are expected to be more flexible than the "S"-shaped logistic curve. They allow the "potential expansion of growth" to be a function of a number of economic and sociological variables, e.g., the number of households, per capita disposable income, average revenue per telephone, etc. This approach resulted in the development of a useful model for forecasting Bell System residence telephones.

Suggested Citation

  • Roshan L. Chaddha & Sharad S. Chitgopekar, 1971. "A "Generalization" of the Logistic Curves and Long-Range Forecasts (1966-1991) of Residence Telephones," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 2(2), pages 542-560, Autumn.
    • Handle: RePEc:rje:bellje:v:2:y:1971:i:autumn:p:542-560
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    Cited by:

    1. Sanjay Kumar SINGH & Vijay Lakshmi SINGH, 2023. "Internet diffusion in India: A study based on Growth Curve modelling," Management Research and Practice, Research Centre in Public Administration and Public Services, Bucharest, Romania, vol. 15(2), pages 29-42, June.
    2. Gupta, Ruchita & Jain, Karuna, 2016. "Competition effect of a new mobile technology on an incumbent technology: An Indian case study," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 332-342.
    3. Al-Alawi, Baha M. & Bradley, Thomas H., 2013. "Review of hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and electric vehicle market modeling Studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 190-203.
    4. Fildes, Robert & Kumar, V., 2002. "Telecommunications demand forecasting--a review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 489-522.
    5. Cree S. Dawson & Charles J. McCallum & R. Bradford Murphy & Eric Wolman, 2000. "Operations Research at Bell Laboratories through the 1970s: Part III," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 48(4), pages 517-526, August.
    6. Lakka, Spyridoula & Michalakelis, Christos & Varoutas, Dimitris & Martakos, Draculis, 2012. "Exploring the determinants of the OSS market potential: The case of the Apache web server," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 51-68.

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