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Pruebas de tensión al sistema bancario boliviano

Author

Listed:
  • Aliaga Lordemann, Javier

    (IISEC Universidad Católica Boliviana "San Pablo")

  • Garrón Vedia, Ignacio

    (IISEC Universidad Católica Boliviana "San Pablo")

Abstract

En términos de regulación, Basilea III insta a los organismos supervisores a avanzar hacia un esquema de supervisión bancaria más orientado al riesgo, especialmente generar medidas o modelos que puedan anticipar o mostrar vulnerabilidades de las entidades financieras. en este marco, en la última década se registró un importante desarrollo de los modelos de macro stress testing, propiciados en primera instancia por el fondo Monetario internacional y posteriormente por distintos bancos centrales. el presente documento, a partir de un análisis de escenarios para Bolivia y un conjunto de metodologías de tensión desarrolladas por cihak (2001,2004, 2005, 2007) y Blaschke et al. (2001), propone un análisis de los principales riesgos, vinculados a movimientos del tipo de cambio y tasa de interés, que deben gestionar las entidades financieras bolivianas en cuatro áreas fundamentales: riesgo de crédito, riesgo de tasas de interés, riesgo cambiario y riesgo de liquidez. los resultados muestran que el sistema bancario tiene una mayor vulnerabilidad a variaciones de las tasas de interés, debido al descalce de plazos existente por los desincentivos generados por los bancos (tasas de interés pasivas bajas para depósitos a plazo fijo). Asimismo, el riesgo de tasas de interés genera el mayor impacto en el CAP en los escenarios planteados, seguido por el riesgo de tipo de cambio y el riesgo crediticio. Por último, los resultados favorables de los stress tests de liquidez reflejan los altos niveles de liquidez con los que cuenta actualmente el sistema bancario.

Suggested Citation

  • Aliaga Lordemann, Javier & Garrón Vedia, Ignacio, 2013. "Pruebas de tensión al sistema bancario boliviano," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB) "San Pablo", issue 19, pages 9-53, Mayo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ris:revlde:1901
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Maria Soledad Martinez Peria & Mr. Giovanni Majnoni & Mr. Matthew T Jones & Mr. Winfrid Blaschke, 2001. "Stress Testing of Financial Systems: An Overview of Issues, Methodologies, and FSAP Experiences," IMF Working Papers 2001/088, International Monetary Fund.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pruebas de tensión; estabilidad financiera; macroprudencial;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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