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The effect of currency crisis on GDP dynamics: PGLS approach

Author

Listed:
  • Mehin Aslani Nia, Nassim

    (Ph.D. in Economics, University of Tabriz)

  • Salmani, Behzad

    (Professor of Economics, University of Tabriz)

  • Fallahi, Firouz

    (Associate Professor of Economics, University of Tabriz)

  • Asgharpour, Hossein

    (Professor of Economics, University of Tabriz)

Abstract

It is important for economic policy makers to study and predict the sustainability of currency crisis effect on macroeconomic variables, especially GDP. In this regard, the main purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of currency crisis on GDP dynamics during 1970-2016. In this regard, the empirical model has been estimated using the theoretical basis of the research and GPS approach. According to the results, the negative effect of the currency crisis on GDP is confirmed in short run. Foreign capital inflow and short-term foreign debt are among the factors exacerbating the effect of currency crisis on GDP growth in short run. The rate of export growth and the changes in terms of trade are moderating effect of currency crisis on -GDP. Increasing the supply of national currency as well as increasing government spending and budget deficits are exacerbating effect of crisis

Suggested Citation

  • Mehin Aslani Nia, Nassim & Salmani, Behzad & Fallahi, Firouz & Asgharpour, Hossein, 2020. "The effect of currency crisis on GDP dynamics: PGLS approach," Quarterly Journal of Applied Theories of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Management and Business, University of Tabriz, vol. 7(1), pages 185-210, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:qjatoe:0182
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Currency Crisis; GDP dynamics; PGLS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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