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The J-curve: Indonesia vs. Her Major Trading Partners

Author

Listed:
  • Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen

    (The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee)

  • Harvey, Hanafiah

    (Penn State University at Mont Alto)

Abstract

Couple previous studies that have investigated the J-curve phenomenon for Indonesia, have employed aggregate trade data and provided mixed results. Given the aggregation bias embodied in using trade data between Indonesia and the rest of the world, we disaggregate Indonesian trade data by trading partners and investigate the short-run as well as the long-run effects of the real bilateral exchange rate on the bilateral trade balance between Indonesia and each of her 13 trading partners. We find evidence of the J-curve effect in five out of 13 trading partners.

Suggested Citation

  • Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Harvey, Hanafiah, 2009. "The J-curve: Indonesia vs. Her Major Trading Partners," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 24, pages 765-777.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:integr:0493
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Bao, Ho Hoang Gia & Le, Hoang Phong, 2021. "ASEAN's trade balance with the whole EU-28 at industry level: The role of vehicle currency," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 24(C).
    2. Wang, Chun-Hsuan & Lin, Chun-Hung A. & Yang, Chih-Hai, 2012. "Short-run and long-run effects of exchange rate change on trade balance: Evidence from China and its trading partners," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 266-273.
    3. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2013. "Does J-curve phenomenon exist in case of Laos? An ARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 833-839.
    4. Perekunah Eregha & Arcade Ndoricimpa & Solomon Olakojo & Mamello Nchake & Owen Nyang'oro & Edith Togba, 2016. "Nigeria: Should the Government Float or Devalue the Naira?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(3), pages 247-263, September.
    5. Hongsheng Zhang & Bo Meng & Shuzhong Ma, 2018. "Determinants of China's bilateral trade balance in global value chains," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(5), pages 463-485, July.
    6. Hanafiah Harvey & Fumitaka Furuoka & Qaiser Munir, 2013. "The role of tourism and exchange rate on economic growth:Evidence from the BIMP-EAGA countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 33(4), pages 2756-2762.
    7. Kartono, Agus & Febriyanti, Marina & Wahyudi, Setyanto Tri & Irmansyah,, 2020. "Predicting foreign currency exchange rates using the numerical solution of the incompressible Navier–Stokes equations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 560(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Indonesia; trading partners; trade balance; J-curve; bounds testing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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