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Monetary and absorption approach to explain the Croatian current account

Author

Listed:
  • Mile Bošnjak

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Trg J. F. Kennedyja 6, 10 000 Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Ivan Novak

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Trg J. F. Kennedyja 6, 10 000 Zagreb, Croatia)

  • Ante Krišto

    (University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business, Trg J. F. Kennedyja 6, 10 000 Zagreb, Croatia)

Abstract

The paper brings the determinants of Croatian current account dynamics under monetary and absorption approach. The main hypothesis of the paper assumes that Croatian current account can be explained within the framework based on the monetary and absorption approach to balance of payments. The research employed newly developed Non-linear Auto-Regression Distributed Lag (NARDL) approach that takes into account nonlinear and asymmetric nature of the relationship between Croatian current account and its determinants. Estimated results on a quarterly data sample from the first quarter of 2000 to the second quarter of 2017 supports the main research hypothesis and reveals that that Croatian current account can be explained using the analytical framework based on the monetary and absorption approach. Domestic demand, real exchange rate index, loans to private sector and monetary aggregates M4 are tested as the determinants of Croatian current account. Monetary aggregates M4 are found to hold the highest explanatory power among tested monetary variables. The main findings of the paper suggest the need for fiscal policy measures and relaxing the liquidity constraints for the Croatian exporters as necessary to obtain external equilibrium.

Suggested Citation

  • Mile Bošnjak & Ivan Novak & Ante Krišto, 2018. "Monetary and absorption approach to explain the Croatian current account," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 36(2), pages 929-946.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfe:zbefri:v:36:y:2018:i:2:p:929-946
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bozhechkova Alexandra & Trunin Pavel & Sinelnikova-Muryleva Elena & Petrova Diana & Chentsov Alexander, 2018. "Building of monetary and currency markets models," Research Paper Series, Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy, issue 175P, pages 1-96.
    2. Bošnjak Mile, 2019. "Determinants of Current Account in Cases of Serbia and Romania: Time-Varying Parameters Approach," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 21-33, June.
    3. Mance, Davor & Olgic Drazenovic, Bojana & Suljic Nikolaj, Stella, 2019. "Croatian Kuna: Money, Or Just A Currency? Evidence From The Interbank Market," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 10(2), pages 149-161.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    asymmetric cointegration; current account; monetary approach; absorption approach; Croatia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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