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Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Morocco: An Approach to Structural VAR

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Listed:
  • Tlaytmaste Bahaddi
  • Mohamed Karim

Abstract

This article evaluates the short-term macroeconomic effectiveness of a structural rise in public spending in Morocco through a Structural Vector Autoregressive Model (SVAR) inspired by the approach of Blanchard and Perotti (2002). The response of the real economic activity following a structural rise of the public spending is small and significant only in the very short term. The evaluation of transmission channels reveals, moreover, a deterioration of the trade balance and a depreciation of the real effective exchange rate. Finally, the results of the estimation concluded that discretionary fiscal shocks have a Keynesian effect on the level of activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Tlaytmaste Bahaddi & Mohamed Karim, 2018. "Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policy in Morocco: An Approach to Structural VAR," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(1), pages 75-80, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfa:aefjnl:v:5:y:2018:i:1:p:75-80
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Perotti, Roberto, 2002. "Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries," Working Paper Series 168, European Central Bank.
    2. Giancarlo Corsetti & André Meier & Gernot J. Müller, 2012. "What determines government spending multipliers? [Mafia and public spending: Evidence of the fiscal multiplier from a quasi-experiment’, mimeo]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 27(72), pages 521-565.
    3. Ant Afonso & Ricardo M. Sousa, 2012. "The macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(34), pages 4439-4454, December.
    4. Roberto Perotti, 2002. "Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries," Economics Working Papers 015, European Network of Economic Policy Research Institutes.
    5. Olivier Blanchard & Roberto Perotti, 2002. "An Empirical Characterization of the Dynamic Effects of Changes in Government Spending and Taxes on Output," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 117(4), pages 1329-1368.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal policy; real economic activity; VAR structural;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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