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Choques de política fiscal, consumo privado, inversión y otras variables macroeconómicas. El caso de Argentina

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  • Luis N. Lanteri

Abstract

Este artículo analiza los efectos de los choques de política fiscal sobre el consumo privado, la inversión y otras variables macroeconómicas de la economía argentina. Se usan modelos VAR estructurales con restricciones contemporáneas y datos trimestrales del periodo 1993-2012. El aumento del gasto del gobierno tiene efectos positivos sobre el consumo privado y la inversión, y reduce el desempleo. Las pruebas de causalidad indican que las variaciones de los ingresos tributarios preceden a las del consumo privado y la inversión.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis N. Lanteri, 2013. "Choques de política fiscal, consumo privado, inversión y otras variables macroeconómicas. El caso de Argentina," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 15(29), pages 285-302, July-Dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:rei:ecoins:v:15:y:2013:i:29:p:285-302
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giordano, Raffaela & Momigliano, Sandro & Neri, Stefano & Perotti, Roberto, 2007. "The effects of fiscal policy in Italy: Evidence from a VAR model," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 707-733, September.
    2. Jordi Galí & J. David López-Salido & Javier Vallés, 2007. "Understanding the Effects of Government Spending on Consumption," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 5(1), pages 227-270, March.
    3. Tenhofen Jörn & Wolff Guntram B. & Heppke-Falk Kirsten H., 2010. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Exogenous Fiscal Policy Shocks in Germany: A Disaggregated SVAR Analysis," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 230(3), pages 328-355, June.
    4. Roberto Perotti, 2005. "Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    gasto del gobierno; ingresos tributarios; consumo privado; inversión; desempleo; inflación; modelos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
    • E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents

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