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Why Has Retail Inflation Been So Low?

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Ballantyne

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

  • Sean Langcake

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

Abstract

Inflation in the price of retail goods has been surprisingly low for a number of years. The considerable depreciation of the Australian dollar over this period by itself would typically have led to higher retail inflation. This article considers whether the direct relationship between the exchange rate and retail inflation has changed, or if other developments in the retail supply chain can account for recent trends in retail inflation. There is little statistical evidence that the relationship between the exchange rate and retail inflation has changed. Discussions with retailers in the Reserve Bank’s business liaison program suggest that an intensification of competition in the retail sector and firms’ efforts to reduce costs along their supply chain are likely to have contributed to low retail inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Ballantyne & Sean Langcake, 2016. "Why Has Retail Inflation Been So Low?," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 9-18, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rba:rbabul:jun2016-02
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2016/jun/pdf/bu-0616-2.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elaine Chung & Marion Kohler & Christine Lewis, 2011. "The Exchange Rate and Consumer Prices," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 9-16, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Duke Cole & Samual Nightingale, 2016. "Sensitivity of Australian Trade to the Exchange Rate," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 13-20, September.
    2. Geoff Weir, 2018. "Wage Growth Puzzles and Technology," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2018-10, Reserve Bank of Australia.

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