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Les modèles keynésiens et de cycles réels sont-ils si différents ?

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  • Patrick Fève
  • Claude Jessua

Abstract

[eng] The purpose of this paper is to study the quantitative implications of the keyne-sian and R.B.C. models. The structural parameters of the R.B.C. model are obtai­ned through estimates of the observed and simulated keynesian model. This application of indirect inference indicates that the data are not sufficently informa­tive to distinguish between these two representations of the aggregate economy. Nevertheless, this result comes from the introduction of an "error term" into the R.B.C. model. [fre] L'objectif de cet article est d'étudier les implications quantitatives des modèles keynésiens et de cycles réels. Les paramètres structurels du modèle RBC sont obtenus à l'aide des estimations du modèle keynésien observé et simulé. Cette application de /'inference indirecte indique que les données n'apportent pas suffi­samment d'information pour qu'il soit possible de discriminer entre ces deux repré­sentations de l'économie agrégée. Cependant, ce résultat provient de la prise en compte d'un "terme d'erreur" dans le modèle de cycle réel.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Fève & Claude Jessua, 1996. "Les modèles keynésiens et de cycles réels sont-ils si différents ?," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 47(3), pages 521-530.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:reveco:reco_0035-2764_1996_num_47_3_409788
    DOI: 10.3406/reco.1996.409788
    Note: DOI:10.3406/reco.1996.409788
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christiano, Lawrence J & Eichenbaum, Martin, 1992. "Current Real-Business-Cycle Theories and Aggregate Labor-Market Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(3), pages 430-450, June.
    2. Smith, A A, Jr, 1993. "Estimating Nonlinear Time-Series Models Using Simulated Vector Autoregressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(S), pages 63-84, Suppl. De.
    3. King, Robert G. & Plosser, Charles I. & Rebelo, Sergio T., 1988. "Production, growth and business cycles : II. New directions," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2-3), pages 309-341.
    4. Andrews, Donald W K & Monahan, J Christopher, 1992. "An Improved Heteroskedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(4), pages 953-966, July.
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