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Projection du nombre d'exploitations à l'aide de chaînes de Markov

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  • Ronald D. Krenz

Abstract

[fre] Les processus de Markov ont d'abord été appliqués, en ce qui concerne l'économie, aux problèmes des structures relatives, par exemple pour l'analyse des distributions de revenus et de salaires. L'évolution de telles distributions dans le temps était un premier pas vers une projection. L'analyse contenue dans ce texte entreprend un pas de plus en exposant une méthode de projection de nombres absolus à partir d'une base marko- vienne convenablement modifiée. Cette nouvelle étape représente à la fois un enrichissement et un affaiblissement ; affaiblissement parce que les hypothèses nécessaires nous éloignent considérablement de la réaction, mais enrichissement parce que cette technique répond à un champ plus vaste de besoins manifestes.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald D. Krenz, 1965. "Projection du nombre d'exploitations à l'aide de chaînes de Markov," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 64(1), pages 99-106.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:recoru:ecoru_0013-0559_1965_num_64_1_1895
    DOI: 10.3406/ecoru.1965.1895
    Note: DOI:10.3406/ecoru.1965.1895
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Marion Clawson, 1963. "Aging Farmers and Agricultural Policy," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 13-30.
    2. Hole, Erling & Vermeer, James, 1963. "Wheat Growers' Machinery Costs, by Size of Farm in Central North Dakota," Agricultural Economic Reports 307169, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Bostwick, Don, 1962. "Yield Probabilities as a Markov Process," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 14(2), pages 1-8, April.
    4. G. S. Tolley & H. W. Hjort, 1963. "Age-Mobility and Southern Farmer Skill—Looking Ahead for Area Development," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 45(1), pages 31-46.
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    Cited by:

    1. J.-P. Champagne, 1972. "Essais de prévision à moyen terme de la population agricole belge," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 91(1), pages 95-102.

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