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« Les disparitions de firmes industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique »

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  • Luc Marco
  • Michel Rainelli

Abstract

[fre] La disparition des entreprises par faillite est le plus souvent analysée au niveau de la gestion ou de la macroéconomie, une troisième approche est ici retenue : le niveau sectoriel de l'Industrie stricto sensu. A partir des contributions antérieures sont dégagées les variables d'un modèle en coupe avec décalages temporels, que l'on applique aux 32 secteurs industriels sur la période 1980-1983. Les résultats montrent qu'il existe un risque de faillite indépendant de l'activité exercée. La meilleure variable explicative est le taux de création d'entreprises trois ans auparavant. [eng] The disappearance of entreprises by business failure is mostly studied on the level of Management or Macroeconomics. A third approach is retained here : the sectorial level of the Industry stricto sensu. From previous analysis the variables of a transverse model with temporal lags are set up, and applied on 32 industrial sectors for the 1980-1983 period. The results indicate the existence of a failure risk independent of the practiced activity. The best variable is the rate of firm's creation three years before.

Suggested Citation

  • Luc Marco & Michel Rainelli, 1986. "« Les disparitions de firmes industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique »," Revue d'Économie Industrielle, Programme National Persée, vol. 36(1), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:prs:recind:rei_0154-3229_1986_num_36_1_2173
    DOI: 10.3406/rei.1986.2173
    Note: DOI:10.3406/rei.1986.2173
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Blazy, Régis & Esquerré, Stéphane, 2021. "The CV effect: To what extent does the chance to reorganize depend on a bankruptcy judge’s profile?," International Review of Law and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Régis Blazy, 1996. "Mimétisme, erreurs d'anticipation de la demande et risque de défaillance des entreprises industrielles en France : un modèle économétrique à correction d'erreur," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 125(4), pages 1-18.
    3. Jean Bonnet & Patricia Renou-Maissant, 2000. "La régulation macro-économique et sectorielle de la démographie d'entreprises," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 145(4), pages 19-40.
    4. Régis BLAZY & Stéphane ESQUERRE, 2019. "The CV effect: How far do the chances to reorganize depend on the bankruptcy judges’ profile?," Working Papers of LaRGE Research Center 2019-07, Laboratoire de Recherche en Gestion et Economie (LaRGE), Université de Strasbourg.

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