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Le nombre de ménages croît plus vite que la population

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  • Claudie Louvot

Abstract

[fre] Le nombre de ménages croît plus vite que la population - Le nombre de ménages devrait augmenter d'environ 20 % entre 1982 et 2000. La taille des ménages se réduira. Bien que les jeunes quittent le domicile familial plus tard, les personnes seules seront de plus en plus nombreuses, et la cohabitation des générations sera de plus en plus rare. . Cette tendance à l'éclatement des ménages, manifeste depuis une trentaine d'années, devrait s'atténuer. Ses effets s'épuisent progressivement, ce qui accentue la prépondérance de la démographie dans l'accroissement du nombre des ménages. Celui-ci résultera pour l'essentiel de la croissance de la population et du mouvement des générations. Ainsi, l'arrivée à l'âge adulte de générations moins nombreuses freinera, à partir de 1 993, la formation de jeunes ménages. [eng] The number of households is growing more rapidly than the population - The number of households will probably increase by about 20 % between 1 982 and 2000. Their size will be more limited. Although young people are leaving home later, increasing numbers of people will be living alone and generational cohabitation will be increasingly rare. . This trend towards the break-up of households, evident for the last thirty years, will probably decline. The progressive diminution of its effects accentuates the greater importance of demography in the increase of the number of households. This increase, for the most part, will be the result of population growth and the movement of generations. Thus, starting in 1993, the emergence of adults belonging to less numerous generations will slow down the creation of young households. [spa] El numéro de hogares crece mas rápido que la población - El número de hogares crecerá en un 20 % entre 1982 y 2000. El tamaño de estos disminuirá. Aunque los jóvenes dejen el domicilio familiar más tarde, las personas solas serán cada vez más numerosas, y la cohabitación entre las generaciones sera cada vez más rara. . Esta tendencia a la fragmentación, manifiesta desde hace treinta años, debria atenuarse, así como sus efectos, acentuandose la preponderancia de la demografia en el crecimiento del número de hogares. Este resultará esencialmente por el crecimiento de la población y por el movimiento de las generaciones. Asi la llegada a la edad adulta de generaciones menos numerosas frenará, a partir de 1993, la formación de hogares jóvenes.

Suggested Citation

  • Claudie Louvot, 1986. "Le nombre de ménages croît plus vite que la population," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 190(1), pages 29-40.
  • Handle: RePEc:prs:ecstat:estat_0336-1454_1986_num_190_1_2479
    DOI: 10.3406/estat.1986.2479
    Note: DOI:10.3406/estat.1986.2479
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    Cited by:

    1. Claudie Louvot, 1989. "La croissance du nombre de ménages soutiendra la construction neuve jusqu'au milieu des années 90," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 225(1), pages 19-29.
    2. Claudie Louvot, 1993. "Le nombre de ménages augmentera de moins en moins vite. Une projection à l'horizon 2020," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 267(1), pages 31-47.

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