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Systémy měnových kurzů, jejich volba v tranzitivních ekonomikách a dopady na vývoj inflace a ekonomického růstu
[Exchange rate regimes in transitive economies and the effect of exchange rate policy on the development of inflation and economic growth]

Author

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  • Jaroslava Durčáková

Abstract

In this paper we discuss the issue of the choice of exchange rate regimes in transitive economies and the effect of exchange rate policy on the development of macroeconomic indicators (e. g. the average growth rate of real GDP in domestic currency and the development of domestic inflation). It is obvious that exchange rate policy is not a passive factor, at least in the medium term. Our analysis indicates that the fixed foreign exchange rate arrangements policy does not necessarily mean stability of the foreign exchange rates. Neither percentage exchange rate changes of fixed rates, nor their volatility measured by the standard deviation are lower than the average change is over the examined period. Our analysis indicates also that the inflation rate is growing in accordance with the growth of depreciation of the foreign exchange rate and the growth of its volatility measured by the standard deviation. It was cleared that the higher volatility of the effective nominal exchange rate is reflected by the lower average economic growth rate of transitive countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaroslava Durčáková, 2009. "Systémy měnových kurzů, jejich volba v tranzitivních ekonomikách a dopady na vývoj inflace a ekonomického růstu [Exchange rate regimes in transitive economies and the effect of exchange rate policy," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2009(3), pages 344-360.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2009:y:2009:i:3:id:688:p:344-360
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.688
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mathias Hoffmann, 2007. "Fixed versus Flexible Exchange Rates: Evidence from Developing Countries," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 74(295), pages 425-449, August.
    2. Mr. Jahangir Aziz & Mr. Francesco Caramazza, 1998. "Fixed or Flexible? Getting the Exchange Rate Right in the 1990s," IMF Economic Issues 1998/002, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Mr. Paul R Masson & Mr. Morris Goldstein & Mr. Jacob A. Frenkel, 1991. "Characteristics of a Successful Exchange Rate System," IMF Occasional Papers 1991/013, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Jahangir Aziz & Francesco Caramazza, 1998. "Fixed or Flexible? Getting the Exchange Rate Right in the 1990s," IMF Economic Issues 13, International Monetary Fund.
    5. Vijay Singal, 1999. "Floating Currencies, Capital Controls, Or Currency Boards: What'S The Best Remedy For The Currency Crises?," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 11(4), pages 49-56, January.
    6. Stanley Fischer, 2001. "Exchange Rate Regimes: Is the Bipolar View Correct?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 15(2), pages 3-24, Spring.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; inflation; transitive economies; foreign exchange rate;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies

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