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Monetární přístup k inflaci - střednědobý strukturální model v otevřené ekonomice (příklad České Republiky v letech 1996-2004)
[Monetary approach to inflation: A medium-term structural model in a small open economy (the case of the Czech Republic in 1996-2004)]

Author

Listed:
  • Josef Arlt
  • Jan Kodera
  • Martin Mandel
  • Vladimír Tomšík

Abstract

The paper analyses a relationship between monetary aggregate M2 and inflation in a small open economy. The relationship between monetary expansion and inflation as well as a dynamic of income velocity of money framework in a small open economy are discussed in more details in the paper. Authors have developed a medium-term structural model using for an empirical verification of the relationship between monetary aggregate M2 and price development in tradable and non-tradable goods and services in the Czech Republic in the period 1996-2004. The empirical results of the model indicate that money has a significant impact on the price development of non-tradables. On the other hand, a statistically significant relationship between money and tradables inflation in the case of the Czech small open economy is not found. The conclusions presented in the paper suggest that the monetary aggregate should not be ignored in practical policy-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Josef Arlt & Jan Kodera & Martin Mandel & Vladimír Tomšík, 2006. "Monetární přístup k inflaci - střednědobý strukturální model v otevřené ekonomice (příklad České Republiky v letech 1996-2004) [Monetary approach to inflation: A medium-term structural model in a s," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2006(3), pages 326-338.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpol:v:2006:y:2006:i:3:id:561
    DOI: 10.18267/j.polek.561
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2005. "New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-27752-1, October.
    2. Josef Arlt & Miroslav Plašil & Richard Horský, 2005. "Nový Keynesovský model inflace a jeho empirické ověření [New-Keynesian model of inflation and its empirical verification]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2005(1).
    3. Jan Kodera & Miloslav Vošvrda & Karel Sladký, 2005. "A Small-Open-Economy Model and Endogenous Money Stock [Model malé otevřené ekonomiky a endogenní peněžní nabídka]," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2005(1), pages 26-35.
    4. J. J. Polak, 1957. "Monetary Analysis of Income Formation and Payments Problems," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(1), pages 1-50, November.
    5. Johnson, Harry G., 1977. "The monetary approach to the balance of payments : A nontechnical guide," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 251-268, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; inflation; exchange rate; export; import; medium-term monetary model; VAR analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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