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Relationship Between the Brent Oil Price and the US Dollar Exchange Rate

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  • Radmila Krkošková

Abstract

This article deals with an analysis of the relationship between the Brent oil price and the US dollar price. This paper analyses the development of the intensity and direction of dependence between the nominal effective exchange rate of the US dollar and the price of Brent oil and other commodities, such as industrial metals, agricultural commodities, gold (including jewellery and platinum) in the period from January 1994 to April 2018. The next section tests the hypothesis that there is a short-term relationship between the effective US dollar exchange rate and the oil price. The last part of the article deals with the question whether there is a long-term relationship between these variables: Brent oil price, effective exchange rate of the US dollar, industrial production index in OECD countries, three-month treasury bill, US ending stocks of crude oil, US percent utilization of refinery operable capacity and the price of ethanol.

Suggested Citation

  • Radmila Krkošková, 2020. "Relationship Between the Brent Oil Price and the US Dollar Exchange Rate," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2020(2), pages 187-206.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2020:y:2020:i:2:id:718:p:1-17
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.718
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ADF test; Brent; Granger causality; Johansen test; US dollar; VECM;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other

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