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Structural Change, Exchange Rate and the Asymmetric Adjustment of Retail Energy Prices in Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Jonathan E. Ogbuabor
  • Anthony Orji
  • Richardson K. Edeme
  • Ezebuilo R. Ukwueze

Abstract

This paper examines the role of structural change in the asymmetric adjustment of retail energy prices following changes in crude oil costs. The paper also examines the pattern of adjustment in retail energy prices when exchange rate is accounted for as part of the marginal cost of importing crude oil in European countries with high oil import dependency ratio. The paper shows that the results of Greenwood-Nimmo and Shin (2013) no longer hold when the structural change in the relationship between retail energy prices and crude oil costs is taken into the consideration. The paper also cautions that studies like Kristoufek and Lunackova (2014) that failed to account for exchange rate as part of the marginal cost of importing oil for countries with high oil import dependency ratio may be misleading. In fact, the results of this paper further indicate that once the exchange rate effect is taken into consideration, the possibility of rent-seeking behaviour in the gasoline markets of Italy and Spain disappears; while the rockets and feathers effect observed in most of the ex-tax gasoline, diesel, domestic heating oil and industrial fuel oil markets vanishes.

Suggested Citation

  • Jonathan E. Ogbuabor & Anthony Orji & Richardson K. Edeme & Ezebuilo R. Ukwueze, 2019. "Structural Change, Exchange Rate and the Asymmetric Adjustment of Retail Energy Prices in Europe," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2019(2), pages 196-234.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2019:y:2019:i:2:id:693:p:196-234
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.693
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anindya Banerjee & Juan Dolado & Ricardo Mestre, 1998. "Error‐correction Mechanism Tests for Cointegration in a Single‐equation Framework," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(3), pages 267-283, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Valadkhani, Abbas & Anwar, Sajid & Ghazanfari, Arezoo & Nguyen, Jeremy, 2021. "Are petrol retailers less responsive to changes in wholesale or crude oil prices when they face lower competition? The case of Greater Sydney," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    2. Ogbuabor, Jonathan E. & Ukwueze, Ezebuilo R. & Mba, Ifeoma C. & Ojonta, Obed I. & Orji, Anthony, 2023. "The asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on global retail energy markets: Are the markets responding to the fear of the unknown?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    rockets and feathers effect; asymmetric adjustment of energy prices; nonlinear ARDL Model; global financial crisis; antitrust policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - General
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • L40 - Industrial Organization - - Antitrust Issues and Policies - - - General
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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