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Sovereign Bond Spreads in the EMU Peripheral Countries. The Role of the Outright Monetary Transactions

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  • Wojciech Grabowski
  • Ewa Stawasz

Abstract

The paper examines determinants of sovereign bond spreads (in relation to Germany) of the peripheral euro area countries in the period 2007Q3-2015Q3. The study indicates that the introduction of the Outright Monetary Transactions (OMTs) by the ECB in the third quarter of 2012 led to a change in the sensitivity of the spreads to the developments of certain macroeconomic fundamentals of these economies. In particular, the ratio of public debt to GDP, which significantly and strongly determined the spreads in the period 2007Q3-2012Q2, proved to be insignificant in the period 2012Q3-2015Q3. In addition, the counterfactual analysis carried out shows that the spreads in the analysed countries would have been much higher if the ECB had not decided to introduce this programme.

Suggested Citation

  • Wojciech Grabowski & Ewa Stawasz, 2017. "Sovereign Bond Spreads in the EMU Peripheral Countries. The Role of the Outright Monetary Transactions," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2017(3), pages 360-373.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2017:y:2017:i:3:id:618:p:360-373
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.618
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Swamy, P A V B, 1970. "Efficient Inference in a Random Coefficient Regression Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 38(2), pages 311-323, March.
    2. De Grauwe, Paul & Ji, Yuemei, 2013. "Self-fulfilling crises in the Eurozone: An empirical test," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 15-36.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nataliya Trusova & Andriy Sihaiov, 2018. "Debt Burden of the Financial System of Ukraine and European Union Member-States," Oblik i finansi, Institute of Accounting and Finance, issue 1, pages 124-131, March.
    2. Wojciech Grabowski & Ewa Stawasz-Grabowska, 2019. "News Releases, Credit Rating Announcements, and Anti-Crisis Measures as Determinants of Sovereign Bond Spreads in the Peripheral Euro-Area Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 69(2), pages 149-173, April.
    3. Wojciech Grabowski, 2019. "Givers or Recipients? Co-Movements between Stock Markets of CEE-3 and Developed Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(22), pages 1-24, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    government bond yield spreads; sovereign debt crisis; OMT programme;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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