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Complex Price Dynamics in the Modified Kaldorian Model

Author

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  • Jan Kodera
  • Quang Van Tran
  • Miloslav Vošvrda

Abstract

In this article we analyse a neoclassical model of inflation. Our aim is to reconstruct the neoclassical theory of inflation to obtain a model which generates non-periodical oscillations of price level. This model is considered to be a realistic approximation of actual price level evolution. We start our analysis with the Fisherian equation of exchange. The assumption on non-variability of the velocity of money circulation parameter is relaxed in favour of dependence on expected inflation. The resulting model of inflation is a two-equation model where price evolution depends on production dynamics which is assumed to be an exogenous variable. After that, the two-equation model is re-formulated as an autonomous system to a model where production dynamics is determined by a Kaldorian type's model. By adding Kaldor's model to the two equation system, we create a four equation model. Both our models are able to generate more complex dynamics, i.e. non-linear cycles and chaos, which we examine by generating time series from numerical example and analyse them with the help of an advanced non-linear method.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Kodera & Quang Van Tran & Miloslav Vošvrda, 2013. "Complex Price Dynamics in the Modified Kaldorian Model," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2013(3), pages 358-384.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2013:y:2013:i:3:id:457:p:358-384
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.457
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. Barkley Rosser, 1999. "On the Complexities of Complex Economic Dynamics," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 169-192, Fall.
    2. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1982. "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(6), pages 1345-1370, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Karel Janda & Pavel Zetek, 2015. "Mikrofinanční revoluce: kontroverze a výzvy [Microfinance Revolution: Controversies and Challenges]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2015(1), pages 108-130.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Price dynamics; two-equation model; four-equation model; numerical examples; non-linear time series analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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