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Estimation of the Czech Republic Sacrifice Ratio for the Transition Period

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  • Roman Hušek
  • Tomáš Formánek

Abstract

Estimation of the costs of disinflation policy is usually done using the sacrifice ratio (SR) coefficient. This paper provides two alternative estimates of SR for the Czech economy. The estimates are based on relatively simple, but transparent and verified models, i.e. their vector autoregression and vector moving average representations. When we analysze our estimates of the Czech SR from the accuracy point of view, we see that the results are very sensitive to the way of definition of monetary shocks. Even though the individual estimates of the SR are generally not accurate enough for monetary policy decision making, there is a good probability that the Czech SR was negative during the transition period analysed, with relatively low absolute value. We may therefore assume that if the Czech National Bank decides to incur monetary restriction, such action would not have long-term significant negative impact on output.

Suggested Citation

  • Roman Hušek & Tomáš Formánek, 2005. "Estimation of the Czech Republic Sacrifice Ratio for the Transition Period," Prague Economic Papers, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2005(1), pages 51-63.
    • Handle: RePEc:prg:jnlpep:v:2005:y:2005:i:1:id:252:p:51-63
    DOI: 10.18267/j.pep.252
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    sacrifice ratio; impulse response (IR) function; Blanchard-Quah decomposition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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